2016
DOI: 10.1111/evo.12899
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Extinction as a driver of avian latitudinal diversity gradients

Abstract: The role of historical factors in driving latitudinal diversity gradients is poorly understood. Here, we used an updated global phylogeny of terrestrial birds to test the role of three key historical factors-speciation, extinction, and dispersal rates-in generating latitudinal diversity gradients for eight major clades. We fit a model that allows speciation, extinction, and dispersal rates to differ, both with latitude and between the New and Old World. Our results consistently support extinction (all clades h… Show more

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Cited by 43 publications
(49 citation statements)
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“…In comparison to temperate species, we found that tropical species are older and have accumulated and maintained more phylogeographic structure. These patterns are remarkably consistent with studies based on species-level data that show higher species richness [10], older taxa [30], and lower extinction in the tropics [11,31,32]. Although phylogeographic structure may not persist into the deeper evolutionary timescales examined in phylogenetic studies of species richness [33,34], the concordant patterns across timescales suggest that similar processes may be responsible in both cases.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 86%
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“…In comparison to temperate species, we found that tropical species are older and have accumulated and maintained more phylogeographic structure. These patterns are remarkably consistent with studies based on species-level data that show higher species richness [10], older taxa [30], and lower extinction in the tropics [11,31,32]. Although phylogeographic structure may not persist into the deeper evolutionary timescales examined in phylogenetic studies of species richness [33,34], the concordant patterns across timescales suggest that similar processes may be responsible in both cases.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 86%
“…Although long stem branches do not provide information on the magnitude of the number of lineages lost over time, their lengths are nevertheless indicative of relative levels of extinction and pruning [37,38]. Our results are consistent with studies directly estimating extinction at phylogenetic scales and among sister species, which found higher extinction rates in temperate birds [17,31]. Long stem branches in high-latitude species could alternatively reflect a failure of populations within northern species to diversify until recently, but this explanation seems unlikely, given the lack of an obvious biological reason (e.g., long-term environmental stability) for historical evolutionary stasis.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 85%
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“…We also used null simulations to address more directly the concern that diversification rate heterogeneity embedded in our phylogeny could cause spurious inferences about the evolution of our geographic trait (Pulido‐Santacruz and Weir ). Each of the following simulation‐based tests involved generating a neutral trait—one known not to affect rates of speciation or extinction—on each of the 1000 posterior trees, and then performing our LTT and GeoSSE analyses on it.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…; Rolland et al . ; Pulido‐Santacruz & Weir ). However, we have yet to elucidate which geographic and climatic conditions for a given clade have allowed it to accumulate more species compared to its sister clade.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%