2007
DOI: 10.3103/s1068373907050032
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Extreme weather condition for aviation over the Donets Ridge on August 22, 2006

Abstract: Synoptic, aerological, satellite, and radar data are analyzed to detect space and time evolution of aviation-hazardous weather in Donbass on August 22, 2006. The forecasts of dangerous convective activity, of convective cloud top heights, and of convective cloud location within the frontal zone, produced with an operational forecasting technology at the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, suggest extremely hazardous conditions in Donbass; mesoscale analysis, based on classical rules, gives additional informa… Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(2 citation statements)
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“…Quantitatively, the influence of this predictor is poorly studied during experiments. The comparison of its values with other predictors and the experience of a number of cases, for example in [5], reveal the usefulness of its taking with a coefficient of 2.0 and with a minus sign because the pressure fall causes the development of mesoscale convective complexes. All heavy showers were observed near the area of the maximum values of I max (r < 120 km) where the development of mesoscale convective complexes is the most intensive from the Earth's surface to the stage of Cu cong and of the presence of the prognostic precipitation maximum W max .…”
Section: Complex Estimation Of Situations and Mesoprocesses Using Hygmentioning
confidence: 96%
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“…Quantitatively, the influence of this predictor is poorly studied during experiments. The comparison of its values with other predictors and the experience of a number of cases, for example in [5], reveal the usefulness of its taking with a coefficient of 2.0 and with a minus sign because the pressure fall causes the development of mesoscale convective complexes. All heavy showers were observed near the area of the maximum values of I max (r < 120 km) where the development of mesoscale convective complexes is the most intensive from the Earth's surface to the stage of Cu cong and of the presence of the prognostic precipitation maximum W max .…”
Section: Complex Estimation Of Situations and Mesoprocesses Using Hygmentioning
confidence: 96%
“…The executed analysis of front location represented partially in Figs. 1-3 indicates their most probable structure: the fronts with waves and heavy showers [2] at their approaching as well as in [3,5] and at the displacement of the warm air upward between them. It is very hard to determine the place and the probability of heavy showers basing on this structure of atmospheric processes even with accuracy up to 100-150 km.…”
Section: Situation Peculiarities As a Wholementioning
confidence: 99%