Bone-modifying agents (BMAs) have been widely used to reduce skeletal-related events, including pathological fractures. Herein, we aimed to clarify the incidence of pathological fractures caused by high-risk femoral bone metastases after palliative radiotherapy (RT) in the BMA era and evaluate the necessity of prophylactic surgical stabilization. We assessed 90 patients with high-risk femoral bone metastases, indicated by Mirels’ scores ≥ 8, without pathological fractures and surgical fixations, who received palliative RT at our institution between January 2009 and December 2018. Pathological fracture incidence was analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method and was 22.8% and 31.0% at 2 and 6 months, respectively. Pathological fractures were caused by 17 of 65 lesions (26.2%) and 9 of 25 lesions (36.0%) in patients who received BMAs and those who did not, respectively (p = 0.44). Additionally, 17 of 42 lesions (40.5%) and 9 of 48 lesions (18.8%) with axial cortical involvement ≥30 and <30 mm, respectively, caused pathological fractures (p = 0.02). The incidence of pathological fractures was high among patients with high-risk femoral bone metastases treated with palliative RT, particularly those with axial cortical involvement ≥30 mm. Therefore, aggressive indications for prophylactic surgical stabilization are warranted for high-risk femoral metastases despite BMA administration.