2018
DOI: 10.1007/s40565-017-0370-4
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Failure probability estimation of overhead transmission lines considering the spatial and temporal variation in severe weather

Abstract: Estimation for weather-related failure probability of overhead transmission lines is essential in the reliability assessment of a power system. This paper analyzes the outage and weather data of 110 kV overhead transmission lines in the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region of China during 2011-2014. The result reveals obvious uneven distributions of outage events for time and space due to the spatial and temporal variation of severe weather. Based on the results, an estimation method is proposed in this paper. Spl… Show more

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Cited by 39 publications
(17 citation statements)
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“…Then, it indicates that (2, 3) is the faulty section, which is the correct result. The dominant frequency-band waveforms of section (2, 3), as well as those of neighboring sections (1, 2) and (3,4) are presented in Fig. 7; the calculated similarities are 0.835, 0.126 and 0.831, respectively.…”
Section: A Simulation Verificationmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Then, it indicates that (2, 3) is the faulty section, which is the correct result. The dominant frequency-band waveforms of section (2, 3), as well as those of neighboring sections (1, 2) and (3,4) are presented in Fig. 7; the calculated similarities are 0.835, 0.126 and 0.831, respectively.…”
Section: A Simulation Verificationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A case study is described in this paper, in which a singlephase earth fault occurs at 0.02 s with a fault angle of 0°. The faulty feeder is feeder 2, the faulty phase is B, and the faulty section is (2,3). The measured transient Head-ZSC waveforms of the four feeders are shown in Fig.…”
Section: A Simulation Verificationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Since this paper focuses on the predictive maintenance tool only, the failure prediction model is formulated based on [22]. In this simulation, we use the term odd event which the event that would potentially cause failure.…”
Section: Proposed Ontology-based Predictivementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Fig. 15 shows the predicted failure in which day based on the analysis of odd events, based on [22], when the probability exceeds 0.05, the failure would happen.…”
Section: Substation Ontologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For instance, a type-specific failure rate model accounting for the effects of weather, environmental, and operational conditions for overhead line is proposed in [18] where the proposed method was based on a non-homogenous Poisson process integrating with assumed powerlaw maintenance effect on the failure rate, and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) was conducted for fitting the relevant parameters. Recently, based on the regression theory, Yang et al [19] proposed a failure probability estimation method for overhead transmission lines considering a temporal and spatial variation of lightning and wind.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%