2019
DOI: 10.1177/0047287519826208
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Fatal Attraction: How Security Threats Hurt Tourism

Abstract: This article investigates the effects of security threats, namely terrorism, crime, and corruption, on international tourist flows. We estimate a gravity model to evaluate differences in the instability measures between country pairs quantifying not only how security threats in the host country have a negative effect on inbound tourism but also how conditions in the origin country also determine tourism flows to a particular destination. Results show that tourists prefer traveling to countries with similar lev… Show more

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Cited by 106 publications
(96 citation statements)
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References 60 publications
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“…This research develops a gravity model for international tourism flows to quantify the effects of different types of natural and man-made disasters on tourist arrivals to the affected countries. Gravity models are commonly used in the trade literature (Anderson, 2011), and increasingly in tourism research (Fourie, Rossell� o-Nadal, & Santana-Gallego, 2019;Khadaroo & Seetanah, 2008;Santeramo & Morelli, 2015). These models consider that international flows between two countries are directly proportional to their economic size, and inversely proportional to the distance between them.…”
Section: Gravity Model For Tourism Demandmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…This research develops a gravity model for international tourism flows to quantify the effects of different types of natural and man-made disasters on tourist arrivals to the affected countries. Gravity models are commonly used in the trade literature (Anderson, 2011), and increasingly in tourism research (Fourie, Rossell� o-Nadal, & Santana-Gallego, 2019;Khadaroo & Seetanah, 2008;Santeramo & Morelli, 2015). These models consider that international flows between two countries are directly proportional to their economic size, and inversely proportional to the distance between them.…”
Section: Gravity Model For Tourism Demandmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…One of the consequences of this choice is that time-invariant country pair characteristics (such as distance or common borders) and time-variant origin country characteristics (such as income or population in the origin countries) are not explicitly included in the model. Specific consideration is not necessary, because all these variables are captured by these fixed effects, as also suggested by Balli, Ghassan, and Jeefri (2019), Fourie et al (2019) or Giambona, Dreassi, and Magrini (2018). This is a common practice in the development of gravity models in order to avoid omitted factor bias, and instead focus on the variables of interest for the particular research question.…”
Section: Gravity Model For Tourism Demandmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Grounded upon the 4M analysis framework and safety system theory, this research conceptualized TPSD as a multi-dimensional construct consisting of humans, facilities and equipment, environments, and management (4Ms). George, 2010;Williams and Baláž, 2013;Sharifpour, Walters and Ritchie, 2014;Fourie et al, 2020). For example, the phenomenon of misbehavior is common in tour groups.…”
Section: Tourist Perceived Safety At Destinations (Tpsd)mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In addition, study by Simpson and Siguaw [61] revealed significant country and ethnic differences in different types of the perceived risk, while Slovic et al [66], for instance, showed that people from different cultures differ in their perception of health risks. Moreover, the study by Fourie et al [74] showed that levels of safety and security in tourists' origin country can influence their destination risk perception. Specifically, they have found that tourists from stable countries prefer traveling to countries with the same conditions, while tourists from unstable countries are more tolerant with insecurity at the destination country.…”
Section: Sociodemographic Characteristics and Risk Perceptionmentioning
confidence: 99%