Fertility compression in Niger: A study of fertility change by parity (1977–2011)

Spoorenberg, Thomas; Maga, Hamidou Issaka

doi:10.4054/demres.2018.39.24

Cited by 7 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 18 publications

(22 reference statements)

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“…Examining cross-country, long-term trends in the timing of childbearing initiation is more straightforward than studying marriage postponement in sub-Saharan Africa, but few studies focus on entry into motherhood. Most research now documents increases in age at marriage across the continent (Grant 2015;Gupta and Mahy 2003;Harwood-Lejeune 2001;Hertrich 2017;Ikamari 2005;Manda and Meyer 2005;Spoorenberg and Maga 2018). Modest marriage postponement has even been seen in parts of West Africa (Frey and Lopus 2018; Garenne 2014;Westoff 2003), where, as a region, adolescent marriage is most prevalent and the median age at first union is the lowest on the continent (MacQuarrie 2014; Tabutin and Schoumaker 2004).…”

Section: Quantum Of Fertilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

The Untold Story of 50 Years of Adolescent Fertility in West Africa: A Cohort Perspective on the Quantum, Timing, and Spacing of Adolescent Childbearing

Garbett¹,

Perelli‐Harris²,

Neal³

2021

Population & Development Rev

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Although recent studies examine overall fertility trends in West Africa, few using advanced demographic techniques focus on adolescents. This study explores long-term patterns of adolescent childbearing in 12 West African countries using 51 Demographic and Health Surveys covering birth cohorts that span 54 years (1940-1994). We employ classic demographic measures as well as disaggregation by early-(10-14 years old), middle-(15-17), and late adolescence (18-19). Cohort-based estimates of total adolescent births, parity progression ratios, and rapid repeat birth probabilities reveal little change over time. Most women begin childbearing in adolescence, the progression to additional adolescent births remains common, and the incidence of rapid repeat births is high. In recent cohorts, women exit adolescence with an average of between 0.4 (Ghana) to 1.3 (Niger) births. Contrary to common assumptions, it is women commencing motherhood in early-and middle-, not later adolescence, who account for most West African adolescent fertility.

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Section: Quantum Of Fertilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

The Untold Story of 50 Years of Adolescent Fertility in West Africa: A Cohort Perspective on the Quantum, Timing, and Spacing of Adolescent Childbearing

Garbett¹,

Perelli‐Harris²,

Neal³

2021

Population & Development Rev

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“…Studies have revealed husband’s desire for more children [ 25 ], child’s sex preference, professional status, wealth index, and residential places of women [ 26 ] as being associated with the quest for more children. Previous studies have focused on women empowerment and fertility preference in Niger and other sub-Saharan African countries [ 27 ], contraception demand and fertility [ 28 ] as well as fertility variability over time [ 29 ]. However, a study on predictors of fertility intentions using a recent national survey is yet to be conducted in Niger, despite the high total fertility rate in the country.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Which factors predict fertility intentions of married men and women? Results from the 2012 Niger Demographic and Health Survey

et al. 2021

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Introduction Niger is the country with the highest total fertility rate in the world. In the present study, we investigated factors associated with the desire for more children among married men and women in Niger. Materials and methods We utilised data from the 2012 Niger Demographic and Health Survey. The outcome variable for the study was fertility intentions. The data were analysed with Stata version 14.0. Both descriptive (frequencies and percentages) and inferential (binary logistic regression) analyses were carried out. Results Desire for more children was 97.2% and 87.2% among men and women respectively. Women aged 45–49 were less likely to desire more children, compared to those aged 25–39 [aOR = 0.13, CI = 0.11–0.16]. The odds of desire for more children were high in rural areas, compared to urban areas [aOR = 1.61, CI = 1.20–2.17]. Childbearing women with seven or more births were less likely to desire more children, compared to those with 1–3 births [aOR = 0.09, CI = 0.06–0.14]. Men aged 50–59 were less likely to desire more children, compared to those aged 25–39 [aOR = 0.13, CI = 0.05–0.35]. Men with secondary/higher level of education were less likely to desire more children, compared to those with no formal education [aOR = 0.24, CI = 0.11–0.52]. Childbearing men with seven or more births were less likely to desire more children, compared to those with 1–3 births [aOR = 0.06, CI = 0.01–0.30]. Conclusion This study shows high fertility desire among men and women in Niger. However, the prevalence of fertility desire among men is higher than that of women. A number of socio-economic and demographic factors were found to be associated with desire for more children among men and women in Niger. This calls for a collective effort to educate women and men in Niger on the negative consequences of rapid population growth and large family sizes.

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“…The focus has been mostly on the level of fertility using the total fertility rate and its proximate determinants, such as the early age at marriage, the low prevalence of contraception, and the general low status of women in terms of education, employment, and other markers (Hertrich 2017;Tabutin and Schoumaker 2004). Surprisingly, few studies have investigated if changes were indeed at work under the seemingly stable image given by the aggregate measure of fertility (Spoorenberg and Issaka 2018). This is even more puzzling given the widely acknowledged importance of fertility in the determination of the future size of the population.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forty years of fertility changes in the Sahel

Spoorenberg¹

2019

DemRes

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BACKGROUND Despite much discussion on the fertility changes in sub-Saharan Africa, the countries of the Sahel have received only limited attention. Their comparatively high and stable fertility levels contributed them being labeled as an exception in sub-Saharan Africa. OBJECTIVE This study investigates whether countries of the Sahel are an exception in the crosscontinental trend of increasing birth intervals since the 1970s in sub-Saharan Africa. METHODS Using birth history data, the levels and trends in parity progression ratios and birth intervals are reconstructed for four decades in four countries of the Sahel (Burkina Faso, Chad, Mali, and Niger). RESULTS In all four countries, parity progression ratios have changed little, but births have been occurring later and the age at which an average woman is bearing her seventh child has increased. CONCLUSIONS While the lengthening of birth intervals has been associated with lower fertility in many analyses, this study shows that a similar process is found in countries with high and stable total fertility rates. CONTRIBUTION This study contributes to revise some commonly accepted views on the fertility dynamics in the Sahel.

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Fertility compression in Niger: A study of fertility change by parity (1977–2011)

Cited by 7 publications

References 18 publications

The Untold Story of 50 Years of Adolescent Fertility in West Africa: A Cohort Perspective on the Quantum, Timing, and Spacing of Adolescent Childbearing

The Untold Story of 50 Years of Adolescent Fertility in West Africa: A Cohort Perspective on the Quantum, Timing, and Spacing of Adolescent Childbearing

Which factors predict fertility intentions of married men and women? Results from the 2012 Niger Demographic and Health Survey

Forty years of fertility changes in the Sahel

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