Fertility intentions of having a second child among the floating population in China: Effects of socioeconomic factors and home ownership

Zhou, Min; Guo, Wei

doi:10.1002/psp.2289

Cited by 38 publications

(26 citation statements)

References 96 publications

(139 reference statements)

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“…There are real concerns about the trajectory of fertility and the forces that affect those trajectories and just how the move to a second-child policy will or will not change the overall decline in fertility (Attané 2016; Wang and Hesketh 2018; Qi 2017). A related literature has explored a wide range of issues around fertility including studies of migrant fertility and the evidence that the floating population has lower fertility (Yang 2018; Zhou and Guo 2020).…”

Section: Theory and Previous Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do House Prices Affect Fertility Behavior in China? An Empirical Examination

Clark

Xin

2020

International Regional Science Review

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The article provides findings for China that are consistent with the studies that document a negative relationship between the cost of housing and fertility. Although some studies have questioned the negative relationship between housing market prices and fertility, overall the evidence from this large sample study in China suggests that the original interpretation of a negative relationship is still viable. The research uses data from the China Household Finance Survey between 2013 and 2017 to show that there is an approximately 0.94-percentage-point decrease in the probability of having a child under two with a 1 percent increase in housing prices. The article provides instrumental models to account for endogeneity. The results are robust across city levels and by wife’s age. The negative effect is significant in the thirty-five large cities in China but not significant for other smaller cities.

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Section: Theory and Previous Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do House Prices Affect Fertility Behavior in China? An Empirical Examination

Clark

Xin

2020

International Regional Science Review

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“…The higher the occupational level and wages, the greater the job opportunity cost and consequently the lower their second birth intentions. However, as highlighted by some Chinese researchers, the longer the floating population live in urban areas and the more wages they earn, the greater inclination to form a family [43].…”

Section: Determinants Of Birth Intentions Of the Chinese Floating mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Clearly, smog can influence the health and development of the fetus. Fertility is an important life domain and individuals have to make important decisions in this domain [43]. In an era when people are under heavy pressure, one of the major motivations for fertility is not to produce one more offspring to carry on the family line in industrialized economies.…”

Section: Impact Of Air Pollution On the Birth Intentions Of China’mentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of PM2.5 on Second Birth Intentions of China’s Floating Population in a Low Fertility Context

Guo

Tan

Yin

et al. 2019

IJERPH

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The total fertility rate of the Chinese population has declined dramatically over the last three decades. Research has substantiated the causal link between particulate matter (PM) and adverse health effects. However, the impact of PM on the birth intentions or fertility behavior of the childbearing population remains understudied. The paper analyzes the impact of PM2.5 concentration (a mixture of extremely small solid particles and liquid droplets found in the air) on the second birth intentions of the Chinese floating population. We used urban migrant population matching data at the prefectural level for the analysis. The unique datasets were derived from the Chinese Floating Population Dynamic Survey in 2014 administered by the National Health Commission, the National Prefecture-level City Matching Data administered by the National Bureau of Statistics of China, and the air pollution index PM2.5 collected by the Green Peace Organization. The results show that PM2.5 concentration has a negative impact on the second birth intentions of the floating population. This impact exhibits marked regional heterogeneity: the desire for a second birth across migrant groups living in south China decreases if PM2.5 concentration goes up, while migrants coming from, and living in, north China show strong intentions to have a second birth despite an increase in PM2.5 concentration in northern cities. The results have direct implications for the Chinese government at various levels to play a vital role in making and implementing environmental policies on the mitigation of smog to effectively safeguard the health of individuals and communities and potentially raise China’s fertility rate.

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“…According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the number of migrants reached 241 million in 2018, and half of them were migrant women. A considerable proportion of these women were of child-bearing age [25]. Although they make a living in the city, traditional concepts such as having a son to carry on the family name, raising children to provide for parents in old age and promoting the family status of mothers by giving birth to a boy are deeply entrenched in their minds, which motivates them to have more children and give birth to at least one boy [26].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Son Preference and the Reproductive Behavior of Rural-Urban Migrant Women of Childbearing Age in China: Empirical Evidence from a Cross-Sectional Data

Wang

Nie

Liu

2020

IJERPH

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Son preference has been shown to influence the childbearing behavior of women, especially in China. Existing research has largely focused on this issue using cross-sectional data of urban or rural populations in China, while evidence from the rural-urban migrant women is relatively limited. Based on the data of China Migrants Dynamic Survey in 2015, we used logistic regression models to explore the relationship of son preference and reproductive behavior of rural-urban migrant women in China. The results show that the son preference of migrant women is still strong, which leads women with only daughters to have significantly higher possibility of having another child and results in a higher imbalance in the sex ratio with higher parity. Migrant women giving birth to a son is a protective factor against having a second child compared to women whose first child was a girl. Similarly, the effects of the gender of the previous child on women’s progression from having two to three children showed the same result that is consistent with a preference for sons. These findings have implications for future public strategies to mitigate the son preference among migrant women and the imbalance in the sex ratio at birth.

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Fertility intentions of having a second child among the floating population in China: Effects of socioeconomic factors and home ownership

Cited by 38 publications

References 96 publications

Do House Prices Affect Fertility Behavior in China? An Empirical Examination

Do House Prices Affect Fertility Behavior in China? An Empirical Examination

Impact of PM2.5 on Second Birth Intentions of China’s Floating Population in a Low Fertility Context

Son Preference and the Reproductive Behavior of Rural-Urban Migrant Women of Childbearing Age in China: Empirical Evidence from a Cross-Sectional Data

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