Fighting COVID-19: Performance of Countries in the First Half of 2020

Mariano, Roberto S.; Özmucur, Süleyman

doi:10.2139/ssrn.3741511

Cited by 2 publications

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“…In our earlier study [Mariano & Ozmucur 2020] evaluating countries' performance in ghting a deadly virus, we introduced the Disaster Index (DI), based on four indicators: two for health-deaths per hundred thousand population and as a share of con rmed cases; and two for economic activity namely, quarterly real GDP relative to the fourth quarter of 2019 and unemployment rate relative to December 2019. In this paper, we take a closer look at the trends and basic empirical relationships that can be extracted from the observed data patterns.…”

Section: Honlani Ruth J Rabementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Data are obtained from the Johns Hopkins University COVID Research Center. In addition to the two series, ranks of countries in ascending order and the clusters (based on K-means and using Stata software) are also given in the table (see Mariano & Ozmucur [2020] for details). A map for countries shows clusters for deaths per hundred thousand (Figure 1).…”

Section: Trends In Selected Indicators and The Disaster Indexmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…All data are in 2010 US dollars and seasonally adjusted. Real GDP is calculated as the percentage change from the value in 2019 Q4 (the sum of these may be considered as the real GDP loss as in Mariano & Ozmucur [2020]).…”

Section: Percentage Changes In Real Gdp From the Fourth Quarter Of 2019mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Individual indicators are very useful, but each one may not capture the entire effect of a phenomenon. Since all four indicators will be used in DI calculations, 56 countries with data on all four indicators available were included (Table 4, see Mariano & Ozmucur [2020] for details). Since the numbers have different units, standardizing makes them more comparable.…”

Section: Disaster Indexmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It is important to look again at countries that we had calculated DIs for during the rst half of 2020 [Mariano and Ozmucur 2020]. By studying recent trends, we can see if the country has improved performance or not since the end of the rst half of 2020.…”

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Fighting COVID-19: patterns in international data

Mariano

Özmucur

2021

PRE

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This paper provides an empirical evaluation of countries’ performance in !ghting COVID-19, utilizing a performance index (which we call the Disaster Index) based on four health and economic indicators: deaths per population size, deaths per con!rmed cases, and quarterly real gross domestic product (GDP) and monthly unemployment rate relative to pre-pandemic values. International data patterns are studied for these four indicators and the Disaster Index to analyze trends and basic empirical relationships. The approach is descriptive and primarily based on graphs, scatter diagrams, and correlation analysis. The ten best performers based on the Disaster Index for the !rst half of 2020 were (ranked 1st to 10th): Singapore, Taiwan, Belarus, Korea, New Zealand, Japan, Norway, Israel, Czechia, and Lithuania. The worst twelve performers were (bad to worst): Sweden, US, Canada, Philippines, France, Columbia, Spain, Belgium, United Kingdom, Ecuador, Italy, and Peru. Thus, high-income Asian countries performed relatively better than low-income Asian countries, European, and American countries in the !rst half of 2020. Reasons for this geographical divide are very important and must be studied more carefully and closely, as successful methods in better performing countries will provide some lessons for other countries. It also would be interesting to see how this Disaster Index pro!le shifts in 2021 as vaccination and economic relief accelerate in countries like the United States. The pandemic exhibited the vulnerabilities in the world and reemphasized the vital signi!cance of international coordination and cooperation in a globalized world. Recent trends show that most countries still have a long way to go to control the virus. Vaccination is a reassuring fresh hope, a potential game-changer, though requiring careful, painstaking, and timely implementation

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Section: Honlani Ruth J Rabementioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Trends In Selected Indicators and The Disaster Indexmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Percentage Changes In Real Gdp From the Fourth Quarter Of 2019mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Disaster Indexmentioning

confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Fighting COVID-19: patterns in international data

Mariano

Özmucur

2021

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Los efectos de la pandemia en el federalismo mexicano y en la redefinición del papel de los gobiernos locales

Carrera Hernández

2021

Reforma y Democracia

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The pandemic affecting the global community since the early 2020, has had deep repercussions. Most of the world’s governments have been unable to manage the problem successfully, while subnational governments have tried to meet the immediate demands of their communities facing the crisis. The responses have been as diverse as the results, but it is possible to distinguish important coincidences in the Latin American federations. Among them is the ineffectiveness of intergovernmental coordination mechanisms to generate a well-organized response. In this situation, subnational governments have taken actions that have trespassed on the powers of the national government or even ignored its dispositions. In the case of Mexico, is compounded by the economic stagnation that existed prior to the pandemic, as well as an important political current, coming from various state governments, which had been demanding a revision of the federal arrangement in the face of the intensification of the recentralization process adopted by the current federal administration. This paper analyses the way in which all these factors have affected local management and the implications this has for the country’s development.

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Fighting COVID-19: Performance of Countries in the First Half of 2020

Cited by 2 publications

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Fighting COVID-19: patterns in international data

Fighting COVID-19: patterns in international data

Los efectos de la pandemia en el federalismo mexicano y en la redefinición del papel de los gobiernos locales

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