Financial and economic evaluation of agricultural insurance market in Ukraine

Abstract

Purpose. The purpose of the article is to diagnose the financial and economic conditions of the agricultural insurance market in the context of transformational changes, which allows identifying the dependences of variables among the indicators of insurance in Ukraine.
 Methodology / approach. The final goal of diagnosis is to build models that describe the variables and allow assessing the impact of some insurance indicators on the number of insurance contracts, which allows conducting regression of projected and observed values among insurance indicators during 2005–2019. The direct selection was also applied, which allowed starting without variables in this model by checking the addition of each variable with the use of the selected criterion of conformity of the model; as well as the repeatedness of this process until the best state of the model.
 Results. The modelling results allowed us to determine that among the insurance indicators in the agricultural insurance market, the dependent variable is the indicator of the number of insurance contracts. As a result of the regression, it was stated that for the dependent variable the USD / UAH exchange rate and the subsidy, mln UAH, have a significant impact on the number of insurance contracts. Less importance had the area, thousand hectares, and the remaining variables did not determine such an impact. The obtained regression value of the predicted and observed value stated an adequate model, as the slope of the regression line is 45°.
 Originality / scientific novelty. The novelty is improvement of the diagnostic algorithm for assessing trends in the agricultural insurance market in terms of transformational changes, taking into account the regression which made it possible to establish the dependences of variables among insurance indicators; validity of the use of direct selection with repeatedness of which the best possible state of the model is achieved.
 Practical value / implications. The comparison of the studied insurance indicators in the agricultural insurance market allowed determining the relationship between variables with the separation of their weight, which affect insurance contracts, which confirms the adequacy of the application of diagnostics which will be used during the evaluation of insurance contracts at enterprises of the agricultural insurance market.

Identification and interpretation of internal factors influencing the agricultural insurance market in Ukraine

“…A consolidating position among many researchers such as S. Kislingerová and J. Špička (2022), H. Wang et al (2022), I. Ivashkiv et al (2021) is that the effectiveness of the agricultural insurance mechanism in mitigating agricultural risks depends on the ability to make management decisions considering various factors of natural, technological, agronomic, financial-economic, and others. Therefore, the focus of scientific discussion is oriented towards identifying key factors influencing the development of the agricultural insurance market, utilising potential insurance opportunities to minimise natural-climatic and production-economic risks in the agricultural sector, and diversifying forms and methods to enhance the insurance protection of agricultural producers.…”

Mission of International Agribusiness Insurance: Modern Challenges and Opportunities for Ukraine

“…The positive impact of insurance on the development of the agricultural sector of the economy and the protection of farmers' property interests in the event of unforeseen events is mentioned in many studies. In particular, the objects of research are processes related to the formation of insurance's ability to combine and neutralise risks (Komadel et al 2018), demand for insurance services, (Santeramo et al, 2016), financial and economic relations between the insurance market stakeholders (Ivashkiv et al, 2021) pricing and subsidies (Lusk, 2017), government regulation and institutional support (Shibaeva & Baban, 2020).…”

Untitled

“…The positive impact of insurance on the development of the agricultural sector of the economy and the protection of farmers' property interests in the event of unforeseen events is mentioned in many studies. In particular, the objects of research are processes related to the formation of insurance's ability to combine and neutralise risks (Komadel et al 2018), demand for insurance services, (Santeramo et al, 2016), financial and economic relations between the insurance market stakeholders (Ivashkiv et al, 2021) pricing and subsidies (Lusk, 2017), government regulation and institutional support (Shibaeva & Baban, 2020).…”