Climate models show that particles formed by nucleation can affect cloud cover and, therefore, the earth's radiation budget. Measurements worldwide show that nucleation rates in the atmospheric boundary layer are positively correlated with concentrations of sulfuric acid vapor. However, current nucleation theories do not correctly predict either the observed nucleation rates or their functional dependence on sulfuric acid concentrations. This paper develops an alternative approach for modeling nucleation rates, based on a sequence of acid-base reactions. The model uses empirical estimates of sulfuric acid evaporation rates obtained from new measurements of neutral molecular clusters. The model predicts that nucleation rates equal the sulfuric acid vapor collision rate times a prefactor that is less than unity and that depends on the concentrations of basic gaseous compounds and preexisting particles. Predicted nucleation rates and their dependence on sulfuric acid vapor concentrations are in reasonable agreement with measurements from Mexico City and Atlanta.amines | atmospheric aerosol | climate forcing | nanoparticle | chamber study N ucleation of atmospheric trace gases occurs regularly throughout the continental boundary layer (1). Nucleated particles grow at typical rates of 1-10 nm/h, and can be a significant source of condensation nuclei (2) and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) (3). The cloud albedo effect is a major source of uncertainty in estimates of climate radiative forcing (4). Because nucleation may affect CCN concentrations, there is a need for microphysical models that reliably predict atmospheric nucleation rates. Fig. 1 summarizes results for the dependence of boundary layer nucleation rates on the number concentration of sulfuric acid vapor, "[H 2 SO 4 ]," measured by the University of Minnesota-National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) research team over the past two decades (5). Also included are data from the University of Helsinki group (6, 7). The considerable scatter in the measurements of the nucleation rate J at a given value of [H 2 SO 4 ] may be due to factors including dependencies on other nucleation precursor gases, temperature, and relative humidity (RH), as well as uncertainties introduced when J is deduced from measurements. Significantly, Fig. 1 shows that for all of these studies nucleation rates range from 1 × 10 −2 to 5 × 10 −6 times the sulfuric acid vapor collision rate, 0.5k 11 [H 2 SO 4 ] 2 , where k 11 is the hard-sphere collision rate constant for sulfuric acid vapor (8).The literature includes a lively debate about the relative importance of ion-induced and neutral nucleation (9, 10). Our work aims to explain nucleation rates observed in the polluted boundary layer atmospheres of Atlanta and Mexico City, where estimated nucleation rates (∼1-10 3 cm −3 ·s −1 ) were often much greater than typical ion production rates (∼2-30 cm −3 ·s −1 ). Therefore, although ion-induced nucleation could contribute to particle production in these locations it is not the dominant ...