2015
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2014.12.022
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Five year experience in management of perforated peptic ulcer and validation of common mortality risk prediction models – Are existing models sufficient? A retrospective cohort study

Abstract: Emergency surgery for PPU has low morbidity and mortality in our experience. MPI is the only scoring system which predicts all - intra-abdominal collection, leak, reoperation and mortality. All four MRPMs had a similar and fair accuracy to predict mortality, however due to geographic and demographic diversity and inherent weaknesses of exiting MRPMs, quest for development of an ideal model should continue.

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Cited by 75 publications
(67 citation statements)
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“…2,3 Other investigators have also noted increased risk of death with an increasing interval between perforation and initiation of treatment. [20][21][22][23]38 The same has not been observed in this study. The delay in presentation did not have a significant impact on mortality.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 61%
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“…2,3 Other investigators have also noted increased risk of death with an increasing interval between perforation and initiation of treatment. [20][21][22][23]38 The same has not been observed in this study. The delay in presentation did not have a significant impact on mortality.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 61%
“…Leak rates of 2-8% have been reported after perforation repair. 19,21,22 In the present study the fistula rate was 5%. These unfortunate patients have a 35% chance of mortality.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 46%
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“…[6,11,12,5] Buck and colleagues on the other hand expressed the meagre ability of Boey score in predicting mortality and morbidity status. [13] Their multicentre study also stated that the ASA score, and sepsis score were not able to provide convincing results in prognostication of patients.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…После стандартизации по возрасту и периоду после перелома была выявлена достоверная связь между остеопорозом и саркопенией (p = 0,03). В исследовании Hida T. [49] у пациентов с переломом шейки бедренной кости по сравнению с контрольной группой выявлена более высокая частота саркопении (р < 0,05), наличие которой было признано независимым фактором риска перелома шейки бедренной кости [43].…”
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