Background/Aim. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a chronic
process that progresses with exacerbations. Various studies are carried out
to predict mortality. Among the routine tests used to monitor and treat
disease in the emergency department, special efforts are made to find those
that are meaningful and diagnostic. The aim of the study was to compare the
DECAF score and DECAF+Lactate score and examine the significance of the
DECAF+Lactate score in predicting mortality in critically ill patients
presenting with COPD exacerbation. Methods. This prospective multicentric
study included 435 patients recruited from two centers. Patients who
presented to the emergency department with acute COPD exacerbation and fit
the definition of critically ill according to the quick Sequential Organ
Failure Assessment (qSOFA) were included in the study. The prognostic values
of the scores were compared using the receiver operating characteristic
(ROC) curve analysis. The efficiency of scoring 28- day mortality was
compared with logistic regression analysis. Results. For 435 patients,
sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated for
lactate, DECAF score, and DECAF+Lactate score, which were statistically
significant in the ROC curve analysis for predicting mortality: 50%, 90.2%,
0.711, odds ratio (OR): 0.622 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.573-2.203];
57.6%, 64.3%, 0.654, OR: 0.618 (95%CI: 1.501-2.291); 60.1%, 75.4%, 0.744,
OR: 0.790 (95%CI: 1.826-2.659), respectively. Each unit increase in the
DECAF+Lactate score increased the risk of mortality by 2.203. Conclusion. As
a result of our study, we believe that the DECAF+Lactate score is a more
effective scoring system than the DECAF score as a predictor of mortality in
critically ill patients with COPD exacerbation.