Food Price Inflation in India: Causes and Cures

Agrawal, Pradeep; Kumarasamy, Durairaj

doi:10.2139/ssrn.2259228

Cited by 7 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 3 publications

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“…However, the decline in agricultural production increases food prices up, and magnitudes are varying across countries. Agrawal and Kumarasamy [1] documented that food price inflation rose with the response to increases in India's per capita income. They also suggested a 1% surge in per capita income upsurges the demand for fruits, vegetables, milk, and edible oil by 0.55-0.65%, and animal products by 0.38%.…”

Section: Per Capita Income and Food Price Inflationmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of macroeconomic factors on food price inflation: an evidence from India

2022

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The present study investigates the impact of macroeconomic factors on food price inflation in India utilizing the monthly time series during January 2006–March 2019. The long-run relationship is confirmed among the variables using the ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration. The coefficients of long-run estimates show that per capita income, money supply, global food prices, and agricultural wages are positively and significantly impacted food price inflation in both the short and long-run. While food grain availability has a negative and significant impact on food price inflation in both the short-run and long run. Further, the short-run estimates revealed that real exchange rate positively impacts food price inflation. However, the coefficient is insignificant in the short-run. The Granger causality estimates show that a short-run bidirectional causality is confirmed among per capita income, the exchange rate, per capita net availability of food grain and food price inflation. Further, there is evidence of unidirectional causality running from global food prices to food price inflation. However, there is no causal relationship running from money supply and agricultural wages to food price inflation in the short-run.

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Section: Per Capita Income and Food Price Inflationmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of macroeconomic factors on food price inflation: an evidence from India

2022

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“…Women, who feel responsible for the household and the maintenance of the family, reduced their food consumption most often (see also Hutchinson & Frankenberger, , p.207). People also replaced some food stuffs (for example, meat) with more rice‐based meals (see also Agrawal & Kumarasamy, ; World Bank, ). These coping strategies, however, can cause problems in the long‐run because of massive malnutrition.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The effects of food price changes on smallholder production and consumption decision‐making: evidence from Bangladesh

Molitor

Braun

Pritchard

2017

Geographical Research

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There is still no consensus in academic debate about the impacts of food price changes on smallholder farmers' food and nutrition security. This paper aims to show how food price changes affect food and nutrition security of smallholder households in the Rajshahi district in north-western Bangladesh. To better understand smallholders' adaptive capacity with respect to uncertainties regarding food price changes, it is crucial to look more closely at the decision-making processes of smallholder households in their dual role as producers and consumers of food (prosumers). Smallholder farmers report in focus group discussions that they diversify their cropping practices to be more resilient against food price uncertainties. However, this strategy can be only successful if they are able to invest in inputs. Farmers face several constraints when seeking to make use of opportunities to sell diverse crops given their dependence on different types of local and regional buyers of food commodities. Furthermore, it becomes obvious that an increase in food prices does not automatically relate to an increase in farm-gate prices.

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“…Durevalla et.el. [6] using monthly data from the last decade in Ethiopia, estimated inflation models to determine the importance of factors contributing to CPI inflation and its three main components: (i) grain prices, (ii) food prices, and (iii) non-food prices.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Agrawal and Kumarasamy [6] analyzed the food demand and supply in India in terms of local policies needed to control food inflation. It categorized the food demand in India (cereals, vegetables, fruits, etc.)…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Investigating the periodicities of the Turkish food inflation with considering the subgroups

Ünlü

Akdi

Baş³

et al. 2022

Balıkesir Üniversitesi Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü Dergisi

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This paper empirically identifies the hidden periodicities in the time series of monthly food inflation of Turkey with its subgroups for the periods from January, 2004 to June, 2020. Periodicity is the hidden cycles of the time series which is beyond the seasonality. In order to deal with this hidden cycles periodogram based time series analysis is used. Also, future inflation ratios are forecasted by Harmonic regression. The results of this study reveal that food inflation of Turkey has cycles of approximately 2 years which is mostly derived by food and non-alcoholic beverage inflation.

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Food Price Inflation in India: Causes and Cures

Cited by 7 publications

References 3 publications

The impact of macroeconomic factors on food price inflation: an evidence from India

The impact of macroeconomic factors on food price inflation: an evidence from India

The effects of food price changes on smallholder production and consumption decision‐making: evidence from Bangladesh

Investigating the periodicities of the Turkish food inflation with considering the subgroups

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