Food Security Forecast within the Framework of Mankind Survival Strategy Concept in the Twenty-First Century

Abstract

Abstract:The present article justifies the necessity of improving the food security planning within the framework of implementing the millennium development goals. In this regard, the study develops a brand new approach in the theory of methodology for assessing and monitoring the global food security, aimed at forecasting quantitative scenarios of its development. A distinctive advantage of this approach is the ability to forecast optimistic, pessimistic and realistic scenarios for provision of food security levels regarding certain groups of countries depending on their economic development. This approach utilizes subjectivity in the process of monitoring the provision of food security levels and contributes to optimizing the ways to increasing it in conditions of uncertainty.

Assessment of the current state of economic integration of the member-states of the Eurasian economic union under food security

“…It should be noted that there are significant barriers to the development of integration for EAEU members. Among the barriers to integration are the following: -low efficiency of forecast supply and demand balances; -inconsistency of response policies (Russian food embargo); -insufficient business interest in the implementation of joint projects; -risk of expanding the use of protectionist measures for sensitive agricultural products and the emergence of trade conflicts within the EAEU (due to the overlapping export structure) [7].…”