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PrefaceThis is, therefore, the intensest rendezvous. It is in that thought that we collect ourselves, Out of all the indifferences, into one thing:Within a single thing, a single shawl Wrapped tight round us, since we are poor, a warmth, A light, a power, the miraculous influence.Here now, we forget each other and ourselves. We feel the obscurity of an order, a whole. . .
Wallace Stevens, 1950, Final Soliloquy of the Interior ParamourWithin the past decade we have seen on the one hand the majority of the world's population come to reside in urban areas for the first time in world history, while on the other we have seen a dramatic rise in average global temperature widely thought to be mostly due to the economic activities humans carry out in those urban areas. Nonlinear complex dynamics are profoundly involved in both of these related developments. This book will open with considering the historical forces behind this rise of cities, including some critiques of certain recent ideas of "new economic geography," and will conclude (except for a mathematical appendix) with a consideration of the science and economics of global warming and how to deal with it in the face of the uncertainties arising from these nonlinear complex dynamics, which will reflect the unique perspective of this author having been involved with climatological research for more than 35 years. In between there will be discussions of broader regional economic dynamics, the foundations of evolutionary theory, and the dynamics of ecologic-economic systems. A deep theme is that in all of these areas, nonlinear complex dynamics can result in discontinuities, such as sudden changes of urban growth patterns or the sudden crashes of biological populations harvested by human beings. These discontinuities can appear with little warning and can serve as the basis for the theories of unexpected events such as "black swans" as proposed by Nassim Taleb (2010).