Forecast of biosphere dynamics using small-scale models

A new big data approach based on geoecological information-modeling system

“…In this paper, we have been able to show the way of addressing these and other questions, that are predominately linked to CNSS sustainable development using simple biosphere models and complex simulation models that require the big data processing (Bartsev, Degermendzhi, & Erokhin, 2008;Degermendzhi, Bartsev, Gubanov, Erokhin, & Shevirnogov, 2009;Sellers, Mintz, Sud, & Dalcher, 1986). In any case, the search for alternative pathways toward global CNSS sustainable development is realized through simulation experiments in the context of scenarios that are proposed by experts.…”

Stability of the Biosphere and Sustainable Development: a Challenge to Biospherics

“…The first equation describes the change in the amount of carbon in the atmosphere, the second -in the vegetation biomass, the third -in dead organic matter, the fourth -in surface ocean layers, and the fifth -in deep layers of the ocean. The detailed description and assumptions providing the basis for the model can be found elsewhere Degermendzhi et al, 2008); thus, here we only describe the types of functions used in the equations. The function of the growth rate of plant biomass (GtC/year) has the following form:…”

“…The detailed description and assumptions e basis for the model can be found elsewhere Degermendzhi et al, here we only describe the types of functions used in the equations.…”

Глобальные Модели Динамики Биосферы (К 100-Летию Со Дня Рождения Никиты Николаевича Моисеева)

“…С.И. Барцевым с соавторами [4,5,89,97] предложен подход к построению минимальных математических моделей биосферы, основанный на принципе наихудшего сценария как наиболее значимого для принятия решений и практических выводов. Принципиально неустранимая погрешность в оценке параметров любой биосферной математической модели приводит к вероятностному характеру сценариев моделирования.…”