2018
DOI: 10.1590/s0100-204x2018001200002
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Forecasting of the annual yield of Arabic coffee using water deficiency

Abstract: The objective of this work was to develop agrometeorological models for the forecasting of the annual yields of Arabic coffee (Coffea arabica), using monthly water deficits (DEFs) during the coffee cycle, in important locations in the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil. For the construction of the models, a meteorological data set spanning of 18 years and multiple linear regressions were used. The models were calibrated in high- and low-yield seasons due to the high-biennial yields in Brazil. All calibrated models … Show more

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Cited by 21 publications
(12 citation statements)
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“…The targeting of photoassimilates for either vegetative growth (branches and new leaves) or for reproductive structures (formation and filling of coffee beans) leads to a biennial production (Matiello, 2010; Rena & Maestri, 1985; Valadares et al, 2013). This is reflected in alternations of periods of high vegetative growth and low yield and vice versa (Aparecido & Rolim, 2018; Cannell, 1985; Pereira et al, 2011). Thus, growth and production in coffee crop are negatively correlated and can be additionally impacted by climatic variability, affecting source strength and impacting productivity patterns in a 2‐year range (Alves et al, 2011; DaMatta et al, 2007).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…The targeting of photoassimilates for either vegetative growth (branches and new leaves) or for reproductive structures (formation and filling of coffee beans) leads to a biennial production (Matiello, 2010; Rena & Maestri, 1985; Valadares et al, 2013). This is reflected in alternations of periods of high vegetative growth and low yield and vice versa (Aparecido & Rolim, 2018; Cannell, 1985; Pereira et al, 2011). Thus, growth and production in coffee crop are negatively correlated and can be additionally impacted by climatic variability, affecting source strength and impacting productivity patterns in a 2‐year range (Alves et al, 2011; DaMatta et al, 2007).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To identify and understand the climatic determinants of growth and patterns of carbon allocation in forest trees, two types of approaches have been used. Modelling approaches in which mathematical and statistical relationships are constructed between the width/area of the tree growth rings and the climate (Aparecido & Rolim, 2018; Babst et al, 2014; Gea‐Izquierdo et al, 2015; Gennaretti et al, 2017). Approaches involve growth analysis and biometric/allometric assessments in which parametric relationships are built between primary and secondary growth and the climate (Curtis et al, 2002; Vieilledent et al, 2012; Wirth et al, 2004; Wutzler et al, 2008).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Thus, each period corresponds to two biennia. The reason for this is that coffee growing in Brazil is subject to an effect called biennality, a two-year cycle in which the coffee plant has high yield and, in the following year, has reduced production, due to the need for recomposition of the plant (Aparecido;Rolim, 2018). The LQ was determined from the proportion between the VBP of coffee and the total VBP of agricultural activity, composed of the sum of the VBP of perennial and annual crops permanent and temporary crops, as expressed in Equation 1 (Isserman, 1977): QL, credit directed to agricultural activity (PRONAF, PRONAMP, FUNCAFÉ and credit without bond), and the number of coffee factories and roasters.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, such behavior was not observed during the first half of the rainy season. The annual cycle of GPP (Figure 8b) shows that productivity also peaked during the second half of the rainy season, coinciding with the most active phase of growth and storage of the developing fruit crop, which is known to cause increases in the photosynthetic rates of leaves in response to increased sink demand for assimilated carbon [35]. This implies that CO 2 capture dynamics could be driven by coupling of the surface and the atmosphere at higher levels.…”
Section: Annual Cycle Of Co 2 Fluxes and Productivitymentioning
confidence: 98%