2022
DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss1pp137-146
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Forecasting Rainfall in Pangkalpinang City Using Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average With Exogenous (Sarimax)

Abstract: Changes in extreme rainfall can cause disasters or losses for the wider community, so information about future rainfall is also needed. Rainfall is included in the category of time series data. One of the time series methods that can be used is Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) or Seasonal ARIMA (SARIMA). However, this model only involves one variable without involving its dependence on other variables. One of the factors that can affect rainfall is wind speed which can affect the formation of c… Show more

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“…2.2. The Seosenal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (Seasonal ARIMA ) Seasonal ARIMA differs from ARIMA models in that it contains seasonal characteristics of time series [7], and is an extension of ARIMA model [11]. The notation commonly used for Seasonal ARIMA is [6,7,12,13]:…”
Section: The Triple Exponential Smoothingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…2.2. The Seosenal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (Seasonal ARIMA ) Seasonal ARIMA differs from ARIMA models in that it contains seasonal characteristics of time series [7], and is an extension of ARIMA model [11]. The notation commonly used for Seasonal ARIMA is [6,7,12,13]:…”
Section: The Triple Exponential Smoothingmentioning
confidence: 99%