Forecasting revisions of German industrial production

Abstract

Macroeconomic variables, such as industrial production or GDP, are regularly and sometimes substantially revised by the official statistical offices. Nevertheless, there are only few attempts in the previous literature to investigate whether it is possible to forecast these revisions systematically. In this paper it is illustrated how revisions of German industrial production can be forecasted with respect both to the direction as well as to the level of the revision. We are the first that use a large data for this purpose.JEL Code: C53, E37, E66