2021
DOI: 10.35808/ersj/2350
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Forecasting the Cargo Throughput for Small and Medium-sized Ports: Multi-stage Approach with Reference to the Multi-port System

Abstract: Purpose:The paper aims to elaborate on long-term throughput forecasts in Small and Medium-Sized ports (SMPs). The research problem relates to determining a method that is relevant for the long-term transhipment forecasting in SMPs. Design/Methodology/Approach: Research was applied to the Polish ports system consisting of three major ports (Gdańsk, Gdynia, and Świnoujście) and the minor port of Szczecin. Forecasts for the cargo groups in the major ports were produced using regression models where the model par… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
(1 citation statement)
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“…Other scholars gave different objectives of the policy's as ranging from maintaining a stable exchange rate, promoting export competitiveness, managing capital flow to accumulating foreign reserves (Devereux & Sutherland, 2010;Chin & Lee, 2016;OCED, 2019). This implies that scholars have tried to study different aspects, mostly the internal factors that individually affect the operational performance of ports and these factors are basically influenced by the decision of the management and board while the external factors are sector wide or country wide factors, which are beyond the control of the company or management such as effect of external reserve management on Nigerian economic growth from 1985 to 2013, the response exchange rate to economic policy uncertainty in Russian and study on cargo throughput for small and medium sized ports with reference to the multi-port system in polish (Akinwunmi, Akanni & Bokola, 2016;Sohag, Gainetdinova & Mariev, 2022;Dariusz & Christian, 2021).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Other scholars gave different objectives of the policy's as ranging from maintaining a stable exchange rate, promoting export competitiveness, managing capital flow to accumulating foreign reserves (Devereux & Sutherland, 2010;Chin & Lee, 2016;OCED, 2019). This implies that scholars have tried to study different aspects, mostly the internal factors that individually affect the operational performance of ports and these factors are basically influenced by the decision of the management and board while the external factors are sector wide or country wide factors, which are beyond the control of the company or management such as effect of external reserve management on Nigerian economic growth from 1985 to 2013, the response exchange rate to economic policy uncertainty in Russian and study on cargo throughput for small and medium sized ports with reference to the multi-port system in polish (Akinwunmi, Akanni & Bokola, 2016;Sohag, Gainetdinova & Mariev, 2022;Dariusz & Christian, 2021).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%