“…The objective of a phenological model is to predict the time of appearance of specific insect life stages to improve the timing of biological, chemical or cultural control techniques (Hardman, ), which is often used in conjunction with a risk assessment model. Phenological models based on pheromone‐baited trap capture are used to time specific life‐stage sampling and application of control measures for a variety of lepidopteran pests of managed ecosystems, including Cydia pomonella (Tortricidae) (Glen & Brain, ), Podesesia syringae (Sessiidae) (Potter & Timmons, ), Grapholita molesta (Tortricidae) (Rice et al , ), Chilo paratellus (Pyralidae) (Unnithan & Saxena, ), Lymantria dispar (Lymantriidae) (Régnière & Sharov, ), Lobesia botrana (Tortricidae) (Gallardo et al , ) and Acrobasis nuxvorella (Pyralidae) (Knutson & Muegge, ).…”