Forecasting the Impact of Connected and Automated Vehicles on Energy Use: A Microeconomic Study of Induced Travel and Energy Rebound

Taiebat, Morteza; Stolper, Samuel; Xu, Min

doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.03.174

Cited by 66 publications

(30 citation statements)

References 44 publications

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“…If the distribution of the per-unit externality, E , is log normal, with probability density function (4) φ…”

Section: Proofmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…First, in general Parry and Small (2005) implicitly assume vehicle externalities are uncorrelated with the sensitivity of each vehicle's demand for gasoline and gasoline prices, whereas we allow for, and find, such correlation. 4 Second, we account for the possibility that marginal damage of vehicle emissions may vary geographically. Third, Parry and Small (2005) do not estimate the DWL that remains from instituting a gasoline tax, as opposed to the first-best set of optimal emissions taxes, which is one of the main focuses of our paper.…”

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confidence: 99%

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The Welfare Impact of Second-Best Uniform-Pigouvian Taxation: Evidence from Transportation

Knittel

Sandler²

2018

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy

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When consumers or firms don’t face the true social cost of their actions, market outcomes are inefficient. In the case of negative externalities, Pigouvian taxes are one way to correct this market failure, but it may be infeasible to tax the externality directly. The alternative, taxing a related product, will be second-best. In this paper, we show that in the presence of heterogeneous externalities and elasticities, this type of indirect tax performs poorly. In our empirical application, gasoline taxes to address pollution externalities, less than a third of the deadweight loss of the externality is addressed by second-best optimal taxes. (JEL D62, H21, H23, H71, H76, Q53, R48)

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“…If the distribution of the per-unit externality, E , is log normal, with probability density function (4) φ…”

Section: Proofmentioning

confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 99%

The Welfare Impact of Second-Best Uniform-Pigouvian Taxation: Evidence from Transportation

Knittel

Sandler²

2018

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy

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“…However, despite recent hype, the uptake of car-sharing services has remained very limitedonly 1% of the population in the UK (Birch and Bullock 2019). A similar proposal is related to the automation of the vehicle fleet, an innovation for which the energy and carbon impacts are highly uncertain (Wadud, MacKenzie, and Leiby 2016;Taiebat, Stolper, and Xu 2019), but could possibly result in even more car-dependent transport systems (Papa and Ferreira 2018).…”

Section: Discussion: Places To Intervene In a Systemmentioning

confidence: 99%

Understanding (and tackling) need satisfier escalation

Brand-Correa

Mattioli

Lamb

et al. 2020

Sustainability: Science, Practice and Policy

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Contemporary consumption patterns, embedded in profit-maximizing economic systems, are driving a worsening socio-ecological crisis, in particular through the escalating production and consumption of goods with high material and/or energy intensity. Establishing minimum and maximum standards of consumption (or "consumption corridors") has been suggested as a way to address this crisis. Consumption corridors provide the normative basis for sustainable consumption, that is, enough consumption for individuals to satisfy needs, but not too much to collectively surpass environmental limits. Current consumption patterns (especially in the global North) do not yet fall within consumption corridors, and standards are not fixed over time. Consumption is socially constructed and can escalate due to socioeconomic, technological, or infrastructural influences. In this article, we propose a framework to understand such escalating trends. This approach can be used as a tool for comprehending how consumption evolves over time, as well as for identifying the most effective leverage points to intervene and prevent escalation from happening in the first place. We build on theories of human-need satisfaction and combine these conceptual understandings with insights from research on socio-technical provisioning systems, sociological approaches to consumption, and perspectives on infrastructure lock-in. We illustrate our framework by systemically considering escalation for a specific technological productthe private car.

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“…This means that if CAVs increase their capacity and more vehicles are attracted to the road, CAVs' overall impact on total energy consumption is likely be negative. Along these lines, a recent microeconomic study has shown that the additional travel demand induced by CAVs can generate a rebound effect able to increase the overall energy consumption in road transport by up to 30% [19]. Similar dynamics may arise from the introduction of new transport options for last-mile freight delivery services (such as drones and automated robots).…”

Section: Increased Energy Efficiency Of Road Vehiclesmentioning

confidence: 97%

The future of road transport in Europe. Environmental implications of automated, connected and low-carbon mobility

Szymański¹,

Ciuffo²,

Fontaras³

et al. 2021

Combustion Engines

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The increasing efficiency of the transport system during the last 100 hundred years has fuelled and sustained the unprecedent economic growth of our society. It has shaped our livestyles and influenced the development of our cities and town. At the same time it has posed several challenges to our world as the provision of transport opportunities has heavily contribuitred to the depletion of natural resources, pollution, greenhouse gas emissions, etc. Road transport in particular has had a major role into this. Several policies have been introduced during the last 50 years in the attempt to limit the impact of the transport system, but they have been effective only to a certain extent. During the last years, however, new technologies and social trends are promising to disrupt the transport system and make it substantially more efficient and more sustanable. The present paper discusses the possibile environmental impacts of some of the new technologies applied to transport, in particular highlighting how its complexity may jeopardize the possible improvements that the new technologies promise without properly governing their use.

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Forecasting the Impact of Connected and Automated Vehicles on Energy Use: A Microeconomic Study of Induced Travel and Energy Rebound

Abstract: Connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) are expected to yield significant

Cited by 66 publications

References 44 publications

The Welfare Impact of Second-Best Uniform-Pigouvian Taxation: Evidence from Transportation

The Welfare Impact of Second-Best Uniform-Pigouvian Taxation: Evidence from Transportation

Understanding (and tackling) need satisfier escalation

The future of road transport in Europe. Environmental implications of automated, connected and low-carbon mobility

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