Anthropogenic climate change is contributing to increased insect infestation globally, leading to pest population growth, expansion of niche and geographic range as well as increased outbreak frequencies, resulting in economic losses and reduction in food security. In recent years, spongy moth (Lymantria dispar dispar), jack pine budworm (Choristoneura pinus pinus), large aspen tortrix (Choristoneura conflictana) and spruce budworm (Choristoneura fumiferana) caused widespread defoliation across one of Canada’s most forested provinces, Ontario. Such outbreaks have been limited to field sightings around Ontario, with relatively few studies exploring potential anthropic and climate drivers of infestation. Using random forest probability estimates and satellite data downscaled to 1km spatial resolution from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), we reveal considerable expansion of insect defoliation across Ontario between 2018 and 2020 than previously recorded. High probability of infestation grew by 1300% from 2018 to 2020, an area expansion of ~40,000 km2 in the northwest and southern parts of the province. Much of the geographic expansion of outbreaks was driven by increasing temperature, and for the first time, linked to the proximity to roads. This expansion presents an important and alarming new challenge for forest conservation and management in Ontario, in particular, and Canada in general.