FORWARD: A Learning Framework for Logical Network Perturbations to Prioritize Targets for Drug Development

Abstract

Despite advances in artificial intelligence (AI), target-based drug development remains a costly, complex and imprecise process. We introduce F.O.R.W.A.R.D [Framework for Outcome-based Research and Drug Development], a network-based target prioritization approach and test its utility in the challenging therapeutic area of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases (IBD), which is a chronic condition of multifactorial origin. F.O.R.W.A.R.D leverages real-world outcomes, using a machine-learning classifier trained on transcriptomic data from seven prospective randomized clinical trials involving four drugs. It establishes a molecular signature of remission as the therapeutic goal and computes, by integrating principles of network connectivity, the likelihood that a drug’s action on its target(s) will induce the remission-associated genes. Benchmarking F.O.R.W.A.R.D against 210 completed clinical trials on 52 targets showed a perfect predictive accuracy of 100%. The success of F.O.R.W.A.R.D was achieved despite differences in targets, mechanisms, and trial designs. F.O.R.W.A.R.D-driven in-silico phase ’0’ trials revealed its potential to inform trial design, justify re-trialing failed drugs, and guide early terminations. With its extendable applications to other therapeutic areas and its iterative refinement with emerging trials, F.O.R.W.A.R.D holds the promise to transform drug discovery by generating foresight from hindsight and impacting research and development as well as human-in-the-loop clinical decision-making.