Fragmentation of presidential elections and governability crises in Latin America: a curvilinear relationship?

Nicaragua in 2019: The Surprising Resilience of Authoritarianism in the Aftermath of Regime Crisis

“…If gravely ill Ortega runs in 2021, the fragmented opposition would need to unite behind a single candidate in the one and only electoral round. A Latin American comparison suggests that such over-concentration of the presidential electoral race is conducive to further episodes of government instability (Kouba and Došek 2018), a situation that does not bode well for future democratic prospects of Nicaragua.…”