Friend or foe? UK farmers' relationships with the weather

Osborne, Rebecca; Evans, Nick

doi:10.1016/j.jrurstud.2019.10.028

Cited by 11 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 51 publications

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“…Sectors and risks such as: agriculture, coastal flooding, drought, power distribution, public health, transport and urban planning (e.g. Huang et al 2020;Macintyre et al 2018;Macintyre and Heaviside 2019;Neal et al 2018;Osbourne and Evans 2019;Palin et al 2013;Panteli and Mancarella 2015;Pregnolato et al 2016;Richardson et al 2017) are all greatly influenced by the frequency of extremes in temperature, precipitation and/ or wind speed on fine temporal and/or spatial scales. However, there is still a disconnect between the resolution of climate or Earth system models and the resolution required for these sectors, limiting the applicability of climate model projections.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Investigation of future climate change over the British Isles using weather patterns

et al. 2021

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For those involved in planning for regional and local scale changes in future climate, there is a requirement for climate information to be available in a context more usually associated with meteorological timescales. Here we combine a tool used in numerical weather prediction, the 30 weather patterns produced by the Met Office, which are already applied operationally to numerical weather prediction models, to assess changes in the UK Climate Projections (UKCP) Global ensemble. Through assessing projected changes in the frequency of the weather patterns at the end of the 21st Century, we determine that future changes in large-scale circulation tend towards an increase in winter of weather patterns associated with cyclonic and westerly wind conditions at the expense of more anticyclonic, settled/blocked weather patterns. In summer, the results indicate a shift towards an increase in dry settled weather types with a corresponding reduction in the wet and windy weather types. Climatologically this suggests a shift towards warmer, wetter winters and warmer, drier summers; which is consistent with the headline findings from the UK Climate Projections 2018. This paper represents the first evaluation of weather patterns analysis within UKCP Global. It provides a detailed assessment of the changes in these weather patterns through the 21st Century and how uncertainty in emissions, structural and perturbed parameters affects these results. We show that the use of these weather patterns in tandem with the UKCP projections is useful for future work investigating changes in a range of weather-related climate features such as extreme precipitation.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Investigation of future climate change over the British Isles using weather patterns

et al. 2021

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“…The farmers we interviewed who put impacts of climate change in perspective (as also mentioned by Wheeler and Lobley ( 2021)) trusted their ability to adapt, as they have always adapted to the weather (as also mentioned by Osborne and Evans (2019), cited by Wheeler and Lobley (2021).…”

Section: Corroborating and Enriching The Literature On Adaptation Of ...mentioning

confidence: 94%

Adaptation of Organic Vegetable Farmers to Climate Change: An Exploratory Study in the Paris City-Region

Morel¹,

Cartau²

2022

SSRN Journal

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“…The utilised agricultural area of the UK is approximately 70% of its total land mass (DEFRA 2019), a dominant usage, that offers both opportunity towards creating sustainable natural resource practices yet also comes with risk (Marr and Howley 2019). Farmland management is being severely tested by climate change and the increasing frequency of extreme weather events (Osborne and Evans 2019). The success of agriculture has historically depended on stable conditions in which to develop approaches (Cradock-Henry et al 2020).…”

Section: Natural Systemsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Systemic barriers preventing farmer engagement in the agricultural climate transition: a qualitative study

Whitton,

Carmichael

2024

Sustain Sci

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Farmers and the agricultural sector are facing an uncertain future, due to rapidly changing agricultural policy and a nexus of commercial, environmental and biodiversity challenges brought on by anthropogenic climate change. Balancing the interests of the farming community and natural environment is generating organisational and personal conflict, rather than effective agricultural adaption and a focus on the net zero transition. In this paper, we consider how farmers and the wider farming community can participate in engagement and decision-making for the transition, on their own terms, whilst ensuring social justice for fair and equitable decision-making. We discuss findings from our research project, that used questionnaires and follow up semi-structured interviews with farmers and farming groups to reveal systemic issues that prevent farmers engaging with the climate transition to net zero during their everyday practice. We highlight the structural relationships that form these barriers and frustrate farmers when designing and implementing farm interventions to agricultural systems during times of transition. Farmers have highlighted barriers to be associated with policy, (uncertain government strategy, landowner bias in government policy and tenancy restrictions, government bureaucracy—particularly environment schemes), commercial (market forces—downward pressure from supermarkets on price points, availability of labour due to seasonal migration restrictions, increasing cost of labour) and interpersonal (succession—uncertain future of the family farm due to limited income). This frustrates the ability of farmers to address climate change through farming practices and undermines the implementation of innovative engagement practices, such as co-produced interventions, in policy and decision-making settings.

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Friend or foe? UK farmers' relationships with the weather

Cited by 11 publications

References 51 publications

Investigation of future climate change over the British Isles using weather patterns

Investigation of future climate change over the British Isles using weather patterns

Adaptation of Organic Vegetable Farmers to Climate Change: An Exploratory Study in the Paris City-Region

Systemic barriers preventing farmer engagement in the agricultural climate transition: a qualitative study

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