The last decades have witnessed major growth in the bioeconomy. Emergence of the bioeconomy as a broad, creative and rapidly expanding part of the global economy coincides with the maturation of the established drug discovery system. This paper presents research evidence focused on the relationships between changes in the bioeconomy and changes in the global economy. It argues that new forms of governance and regulation are key to strengthen industrial policies needed for emerging and developing countries to take account of the complex interactions in life science innovation between technology, markets, regulation and civil society, which could significantly impact on global distribution of the industry.Keywords: bioeconomy, global economy, pharmaceuticals, innovation, global health
IntroductionThere is strong evidence that the post-1950s evolution of the pharmaceutical industry is maturing rapidly (Mittra and Williams 2007; Orsenigo and Tait 2008). It is becoming harder to find truly new drugs in spite of continuing high R&D expenditure. Pharmaceutical company profit rates are falling, although volumes are massive and keep big pharmaceutical firms in the top global companies worldwide (Mittra et al. 2010). Another indicator of instability is that large companies are constantly attempting to restructure: cutting in-house R&D units, such as Pfizer's decision in 2011 to close a set of R&D units (Mittra et al. 2011); shaving costs through mergers (Mittra 2007); outsourcing R&D to universities and specialist biotechnology firms; and, organisational changes such as encouragement of smaller 'fleetfooted' innovation units within big pharma companies. The pharma-production model has been increasingly tightly rigidified -increasing layers of regulatory enforcement, and industrial responses, resulting in restriction of innovation to a stage by stage, 'linear' innovative process with more and more sub-stages of clinical trials.The relatively simple staged 'linear' drug discovery innovation model for highly regulated health markets, has given way to a complex mix of, often contradictory, drivers of innovation. The changes may herald a major transformation of health bio-innovation raising the question: Is a major restructuring of pharmaceuticals and health delivery on the cards (OECD 2009;Wield et al. 2013)? If the answer to this question is yes, it leads to two further questions:2 Could these changes bring a broader more globally dispersed set of powerful agents, with resultant implications for the global economy? That is, will changes 2 in the global economy drive a broader range of nations to become bioeconomy players or will they be left behind?3 To what extent can firms in emerging and developing economies take advantage of the transformations to catch-up in some segments?Already there are some changes, perhaps most apparent in agro-biotechnology, where Brazil leads in first generation biofuels. In health, some developing countries, such as India and East Asian, have managed to move from imitation of off-patent ...