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The discovery of Earth-like planets is a major focus of current planetology research and faces a significant technological challenge. Indeed, when it comes to detecting planets as small and cold as the Earth, the cost of observation time is massive. Understanding in what type of systems Earth-like planets (ELPs) form and how to identify them is crucial for preparing future missions such as PLATO, LIFE, or others. Theoretical models suggest that ELPs predominantly form within a certain type of system architecture. Therefore, the presence or absence of ELPs could be inferred from the arrangement of other planets within the same system. This study aims to identify the profile of a typical system that harbours an ELP by investigating the architecture of systems and the properties of their innermost detectable planets. Here, we introduce a novel method for determining the architecture of planetary systems and categorising them into four distinct classes. We then conduct a statistical study to identify the most favourable arrangements for the presence of an ELP. Using three populations of synthetic planetary systems generated using the Bern model around three different types of stars, we studied the `theoretical' architecture (the architecture of a complete planetary system) and the `biased' architecture (the architecture of a system in which only detectable planets are taken into account after applying an observation bias) of the synthetic systems. To describe a typical system hosting an ELP, we initially examined the distribution of ELPs across different categories of architectures, highlighting the strong link between planetary system architecture and the presence of an ELP. A more detailed analysis was then conducted, linking the biased architecture of a system with the physical properties of its innermost observable planet to establish the most favourable conditions for the presence or absence of an ELP in a system. First, using synthetic systems, we successfully reproduce the distribution of observed multi-planet systems within the five different architectural classes. This demonstrates the relevance, at the system level, of populations of the synthetic systems derived from the Bern model and the observational bias applied. Secondly, the biased architectures (with observation bias) correspond for the most part to the theoretical architectures (without bias) of the same system. Finally, the biased architecture of a system, studied in conjunction with the mass, radius, and period of the innermost detectable planet, appears to correlate with the presence or absence of an ELP in the same system. We conclude that the detections of ELPs can be predicted thanks to the already known properties of their systems, and we present a list of the properties of the systems most likely to host such a planet.
The discovery of Earth-like planets is a major focus of current planetology research and faces a significant technological challenge. Indeed, when it comes to detecting planets as small and cold as the Earth, the cost of observation time is massive. Understanding in what type of systems Earth-like planets (ELPs) form and how to identify them is crucial for preparing future missions such as PLATO, LIFE, or others. Theoretical models suggest that ELPs predominantly form within a certain type of system architecture. Therefore, the presence or absence of ELPs could be inferred from the arrangement of other planets within the same system. This study aims to identify the profile of a typical system that harbours an ELP by investigating the architecture of systems and the properties of their innermost detectable planets. Here, we introduce a novel method for determining the architecture of planetary systems and categorising them into four distinct classes. We then conduct a statistical study to identify the most favourable arrangements for the presence of an ELP. Using three populations of synthetic planetary systems generated using the Bern model around three different types of stars, we studied the `theoretical' architecture (the architecture of a complete planetary system) and the `biased' architecture (the architecture of a system in which only detectable planets are taken into account after applying an observation bias) of the synthetic systems. To describe a typical system hosting an ELP, we initially examined the distribution of ELPs across different categories of architectures, highlighting the strong link between planetary system architecture and the presence of an ELP. A more detailed analysis was then conducted, linking the biased architecture of a system with the physical properties of its innermost observable planet to establish the most favourable conditions for the presence or absence of an ELP in a system. First, using synthetic systems, we successfully reproduce the distribution of observed multi-planet systems within the five different architectural classes. This demonstrates the relevance, at the system level, of populations of the synthetic systems derived from the Bern model and the observational bias applied. Secondly, the biased architectures (with observation bias) correspond for the most part to the theoretical architectures (without bias) of the same system. Finally, the biased architecture of a system, studied in conjunction with the mass, radius, and period of the innermost detectable planet, appears to correlate with the presence or absence of an ELP in the same system. We conclude that the detections of ELPs can be predicted thanks to the already known properties of their systems, and we present a list of the properties of the systems most likely to host such a planet.
The Neptunian desert and savanna have recently been found to be separated by a ridge, an overdensity of planets in the period range of simeq 3--5 days. These features are thought to be shaped by dynamical and atmospheric processes. However, their roles are not yet well understood. Our aim was to confirm and characterize the super-Neptune TESS candidate TOI-5005.01, which orbits a moderately bright (V = 11.8) solar-type star (G2 V) with an orbital period of 6.3 days. With these properties, TOI-5005.01 is located in the Neptunian savanna near the ridge. We used Bayesian inference to analyse 38 HARPS radial velocity measurements, three sectors of TESS photometry, and two PEST and TRAPPIST-South transits. We tested a set of models involving eccentric and circular orbits, long-term drifts, and Gaussian processes to account for correlated stellar and instrumental noise. We computed the Bayesian evidence to find the model that best represents our dataset and infer the orbital and physical properties of the system. We confirm TOI-5005 b to be a transiting super-Neptune with a radius of $R_ p oplus $ ($R_ p J $) and a mass of $M_ p oplus $ ($M_ p J $), which corresponds to a mean density of $ p g \ $. Our internal structure modelling indicates that the core mass fraction (CMF = $0.74^ $) and envelope metal mass fraction ($Z_ env $) of TOI-5005 b are degenerate, but the overall metal mass fraction is well constrained to a value slightly lower than that of Neptune and Uranus ($Z_ planet $). The $Z_ planet $/$Z_ star $ ratio is consistent with the well-known mass-metallicity relation, which suggests that TOI-5005 b was formed via core accretion. We also estimated the present-day atmospheric mass-loss rate of TOI-5005 b, but found contrasting predictions depending on the choice of photoevaporation model ($0.013 oplus $ Gyr$^ $ vs $0.17 oplus $ Gyr$^ $). At a population level, we find statistical evidence ($p$-value = $0.0092^ $) that planets in the savanna such as TOI-5005 b tend to show lower densities than planets in the ridge, with a dividing line around 1 $ g \ $, which supports the hypothesis of different evolutionary pathways populating the two regimes. TOI-5005 b is located in a region of the period-radius space that is key to studying the transition between the Neptunian ridge and the savanna. It orbits the brightest star of all such planets known today, which makes it a target of interest for atmospheric and orbital architecture observations that will bring a clearer picture of its overall evolution.
The exoplanet sub-Neptune population currently poses a conundrum, as to whether small-size planets are volatile-rich cores without an atmosphere, or rocky cores surrounded by a H-He envelope. To test the different hypotheses from an observational point of view, a large sample of small-size planets with precise mass and radius measurements is the first necessary step. On top of that, much more information will likely be needed, including atmospheric characterisation and a demographic perspective on their bulk properties. We present here the concept and strategy of the project, which aims to shed light on the composition of the sub-Neptune population across stellar types by increasing their number and improving the accuracy of bulk density measurements, as well as investigating their atmospheres and performing statistical, demographic analysis. We report the first results of the program, characterising a new two-planet system around the M-dwarf TOI-406. We analysed and ground-based photometry together with high-precision ESPRESSO and NIRPS/HARPS radial velocities to derive the orbital parameters and investigate the internal composition of the two planets orbiting TOI-406. TOI-406 hosts two planets with radii and masses of $R_ c c and b b orbiting with periods of $3.3$ and $13.2$ days, respectively. The inner planet is consistent with an Earth-like composition, while the external one is compatible with multiple internal composition models, including volatile-rich planets without H/He atmospheres. The two planets are located in two distinct regions in the mass-density diagram, supporting the existence of a density gap among small exoplanets around M dwarfs. With an equilibrium temperature of only $=368$ K, TOI-406 b stands up as a particularly interesting target for atmospheric characterisation with JWST in the low-temperature regime.
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