Fusion of CMONOC and ERA5 PWV Products Based on Backpropagation Neural Network

Abstract

Data fusion is an effective method to obtain high-precision and high-spatiotemporal-resolution precipitable water vapor (PWV) products, which play an important role in understanding climate change and meteorological monitoring. However, existing fusion methods have some shortcomings, such as ignoring the applicability of the model space or the high complexity of model operation. In this study, the high-precision and high-temporal-resolution Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) PWV was used to calibrate and optimize the ERA5 PWV product of the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis 5 (ERA5) with high spatial resolution to improve its accuracy, and its applicability was verified at the spatiotemporal scale. First, this study obtained accurate GNSS PWV from meteorological data from stations and used it as the true value to analyze the distribution of the ERA5 PWV in mainland China. The results showed that the ERA5 PWV showed significant spatial and temporal differences. Then, a backpropagation neural network (BPNN) fusion correction model with additional constraints was established. The correction results showed that the bias of the ERA5 PWV mainly fluctuated near 0, the correlation between the ERA5 PWV and GNSS PWV was increased to 0.99, and the positive improvement rate of the root-mean-square error (RMSE) was 95%. In the temporal scale validation, the RMSE of the ERA5 PWV decreased from 2.05 mm to 1.67 mm, an improvement of 18.54%. In the spatial scale validation, the RMSE of the four seasons decreased by 0.26–80% (spring), 0.28–70.71% (summer), 0.28–45.23% (autumn), and 0.30–40.75% (winter). Especially in the summer and plateau mountainous areas where the ERA5 PWV performance was poor, the model showed suitable stability. Finally, the fusion model was used to generate a new PWV product, which improved the accuracy of ERA5 PWV on the basis of ensuring the spatial resolution.

A grid model of direct conversion between zenith tropospheric delay and precipitable water vapor in tropical regions

“…The most commonly used one is ERA5 released by the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The feasibility and high accuracy of ERA5 PWV have been demonstrated by many scholars (Zhang et al 2013;Wang et al 2020;Huang et al 2021;Ren et al 2022;Wang et al 2022). Compared with other means of obtaining PWV, GNSS technology shows many advantages such as high accuracy, high temporal resolution, low cost, long-term stability and continuity and it has been widely applied in extreme weather forecasting and real-time water vapor monitoring (Bevis et al 1992;Hagemann et al 2003;Zhao et al 2022;.…”