Future bottlenecks in international river basins: where transboundary institutions, population growth and hydrological variability intersect

Bakker, M.H.N.; Duncan, James

doi:10.1080/02508060.2017.1331412

Cited by 14 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 31 publications

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“…This may not be surprising, as the vast majority of treaties were signed in the last century (Giordano et al 2014), when substantial changes to the hydrological system were not yet anticipated. Clinging to existing agreements may drive and aggravate existing and future tensions between riparian countries (Bakker and Duncan 2017). Structural inflexibility of the agreements allows countries to elevate their national interests by sticking to the letter, not to the spirit of the agreement, thus also reducing trust (Qamar et al 2019).…”

Section: Legal Settingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This is, among others, reflected in the lessons 9, 10, 22, 23, and 47. In general, however, the institutional capacity in transboundary basins is low which may lead to aggravation of climate change impacts (Bakker and Duncan 2017). Joint bodies can, to a large extent, cover for the necessary interactions and decision-making (Timmerman et al 2011b).…”

Section: Institutional Settingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Transboundary cooperation in mitigation and adaptation, especially the intersection of transboundary basins and riparian countries (Bakker and Duncan 2017), is crucial to prevent possible negative impacts of unilateral measures and maladaptation and to make mitigation and adaptation more effective (e.g., by reducing uncertainty through the exchange of data, enlarging the range and location of available measures, and sharing the costs and benefits). It also helps to prevent conflict, reduces existing knowledge gaps, and promotes peace and regional integration, as well as wider economic development (UNECE/UNISDR 2018;UNECE 2009).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Building Resilience Through Transboundary Water Resources Management

Timmerman¹

2020

The Palgrave Handbook of Climate Resilient Societies

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The Earth's climate is changing, affecting society mainly through hydrological changes; floods, droughts, and impaired water quality. Improved water management, specifically water governance, is needed to cope with these changes, especially in transboundary basins. Resilient water governance needs an enabling environment that can deal with existing water management problems as well as has the flexibility to deal with future, uncertain situations. This chapter discusses how the enabling environment can be developed and improved to account for climate change and gives directions on how to achieve that. Where there is a general reluctance among countries to cooperate on water management issues, experiences have shown that cooperation holds benefits for all riparians that go beyond the direct benefits of noncooperation. These benefits are not restricted to the water domain but extend to general economic, social, and

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Section: Legal Settingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Institutional Settingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Building Resilience Through Transboundary Water Resources Management

Timmerman¹

2020

The Palgrave Handbook of Climate Resilient Societies

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“…However, new drivers such as medium-and high-tech export have been given much less attention, especially in the context of developing countries [16]. In addition, existing research mainly explores the competitiveness benefit of the policies on renewable energy use in conventional industrial sectors, such as in iron, steel, paper, and glass industries [17]. Globalization has facilitated trade among countries, and the export of medium-and high-tech products have been promoted in rapidly growing economies.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Medium- and High-Tech Export and Renewable Energy Consumption: Non-Linear Evidence from the ASEAN Countries

2021

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Sustaining economic growth while reducing dependence on fossil fuels remains a challenge for our world to fight against climate change and therefore finding a way to promote economic growth and increase renewable energy use is needed. This paper uses a 22-year panel dataset (1994–2015) of 9 countries in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations provided by the World Bank World Development Indicators to examine the impact of medium- and high-tech export on renewable energy use. We employ a fixed-effects regression model with the Driscoll–Kraay nonparametric covariance matrix estimator to account for sectoral and temporal dependence. We also control for inflation, employment, population growth, and gross domestic product per capita in our estimations. Our results demonstrate a U-shaped association between medium- and high-tech export and renewable energy consumption of these economies. The results propose that enhancing medium- and high-tech export could be a feasible solution for promoting renewable energy consumption.

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“…Increasing water stress in many regions of the world has increased the potential for transboundary water disputes (Bakker & Duncan, ; UNEP‐DHI and UNEP, ). Although direct conflicts over transboundary rivers are historically rare (Wolf, ), peaceful agreements may not continue to be the most likely outcome given increasing water demands and climatic uncertainties.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Exploring Cooperative Transboundary River Management Strategies for the Eastern Nile Basin

Wheeler

Hall

Abdo

et al. 2018

Water Resources Research

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A water resource modeling process is demonstrated to support multistakeholder negotiations over transboundary management of the Nile River. This process addresses the challenge of identifying management options of new hydraulic infrastructure that potentially affects downstream coriparian nations and how the management of existing infrastructure can be adapted. The method includes an exploration of potential management decisions using a multiobjective evolutionary algorithm, intertwined with an iterative process of formulating cooperative strategies to overcome technical and political barriers faced in a transboundary negotiation. The case study is the addition of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) and considers how its operation may be coordinated with adaptations to the operations of Egypt's High Aswan Dam. The results demonstrate that a lack of coordination is likely to be harmful to downstream riparians and suggest that adaptations to infrastructure in Sudan and Egypt can reduce risks to water supplies and energy generation. Although risks can be substantially reduced by agreed releases from the GERD and basic adaptations to the High Aswan Dam, these measures are still insufficient to assure that no additional risk is assumed by Egypt. The method then demonstrates how improvements to water security for both downstream riparians can be achieved through dynamic adaptation of the operation of the GERD during drought conditions. Finally, the paper demonstrates how the robustness of potential management arrangements can be evaluated considering potential effects of climate change, including increased interannual variability and highly uncertain changes such as increases in the future persistence of droughts.

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Future bottlenecks in international river basins: where transboundary institutions, population growth and hydrological variability intersect

Cited by 14 publications

References 31 publications

Building Resilience Through Transboundary Water Resources Management

Building Resilience Through Transboundary Water Resources Management

Medium- and High-Tech Export and Renewable Energy Consumption: Non-Linear Evidence from the ASEAN Countries

Exploring Cooperative Transboundary River Management Strategies for the Eastern Nile Basin

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