2007
DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2006.12.001
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Futures literacy: A hybrid strategic scenario method

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Cited by 229 publications
(161 citation statements)
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“…It has been recognized that capacities to creatively imagine and explore different options for the future is often limited; there is instead a strong tendency to rely on contingency and optimization models for anticipating the future (Miller, 2007). This limitation suggests a potential blind spot in current approaches to education and capacity building: our inability to recognize that we are stuck in our own specific paradigms, with specific assumptions, beliefs and values about education and capacity needs.…”
Section: Promoting An Axial Revolutionmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 3 more Smart Citations
“…It has been recognized that capacities to creatively imagine and explore different options for the future is often limited; there is instead a strong tendency to rely on contingency and optimization models for anticipating the future (Miller, 2007). This limitation suggests a potential blind spot in current approaches to education and capacity building: our inability to recognize that we are stuck in our own specific paradigms, with specific assumptions, beliefs and values about education and capacity needs.…”
Section: Promoting An Axial Revolutionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This activity requires "anticipating" the future, and research in this area indicates that the quality of the anticipatory system and its internal models is a critically important determinant of the quality of decision-making (Miller, 2007). In other words, decisions are only as good as the anticipatory system, thus wise and effective leadership that involves discovering the best strategies and making the best choices depends on the quality of one's anticipatory systems.…”
Section: Promoting An Axial Revolutionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Typically, decisionmakers (representing households, local or national governments, international institutions, etc.) look to the future partly by remembering the past (e.g., projections of the near future are often derived from recent experiences with extreme events) and partly by projecting how the future might be different (using forecasts, scenarios, visioning processes, or story lines -either formal or informal) (Miller, 2007). Projections further into the future are necessarily shrouded in larger uncertainties.…”
Section: Planning For the Futurementioning
confidence: 99%