Fuzzy modeling of the road traffic hazard level

Abstract

The article is devoted to the author's concept development of the short-term road safety management on the federal roads in Russia. The results of development the rule for calculating hazard level depending on the road accidents risk are presented. The mathematical basis of the research is fuzzy modeling. The main stages of modeling are performed using the FisPro software. The concept of acceptable risk has been implemented based on the target values of state programs to improve traffic safety. The developed rule base is the basis for determining the hazard level, which can be the basis for calculating the main parameter of short-term road safety management – the hazard level.