GDP Alone Predicts Income and Survival

Bechtel, Gordon G.; Bechtel, Timothy

doi:10.4236/jss.2021.91034

Cited by 1 publication

(2 citation statements)

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“…We have also benefited from Dr. Bechtel's insistence on monitoring a population's economic indicators over time, coupled with a gradual approach to resolving societal conflicts and loosening entrenched beliefs. This paper generalizes previous work reported in [5,6] and [1,7,8]. The author thanks the reviewers of all five of these open access articles for their stringent reviews, which have strengthened this article's content and clarity.…”

Section: Acknowledgementssupporting

confidence: 79%

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GDP Almost Perfectly Predicts Survival

Bechtel¹,

Bechtel²

2021

Improving Quality of Life - Exploring Standard of Living, Wellbeing, and Community Development

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This article extends results reported by Bechtel, G. and Bechtel, T. (2021). These previous findings induce the hypothesis confirmed here; namely, that gross domestic product GDP nearly perfectly predicts survival in the world’s entire population. The fractional polynomial regressions here are run over the pre-pandemic period 1991–2016. During the subsequent pandemic, the American Center for Disease Control reported that life expectancy at birth in the USA dropped one year during the first six months of 2020, the largest drop since World War 11. The drops in African and Hispanic life expectancy at birth during this period were 2.7 and 1.9 years (Aljazeera; Democracy Now, February 18, 2021). The USA is the worst covid-19-effected population. It is now imperative to confirm that life expectancy at birth is well predicted from GDP in all nations over 1991–2018. This pre-pandemic control for each nation will accurately calibrate it’s subsequent yearly survival drops due to Covid-19. This is especially important in light of the trade war between the United States and China, which has increased the need for accurate measurement of the human effects of this war.

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Section: Acknowledgementssupporting

confidence: 79%

“…Among the plethora of economic variables that might be invoked to measure Covid-19's negative effect on economic recovery, GDP remains paramount. This economic imperative is exceeded only by the human imperative of survival itself [1].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%