The movement of a population through space can have profound impacts on its evolution, as observed theoretically, experimentally, and clinically. Furthermore, it has been observed that mutants emerging at the spreading front develop higher frequencies in the population than their counterparts further from the front. Here we use fundamental arguments from population genetics regarding expected time scales of beneficial mutant establishment and fixation in a population undergoing range expansion to characterize the degree of clonal interference expected in various regions while the population is migrating. By quantifying the degree of clonal interference along the wave front of a population undergoing range expansion using a measure we term the 'Clonal Interference Index', we show that evolution is increasingly mutation-limited toward the wave tip. In addition, we predict that the degree of clonal interference varies non-monotonically with respect to position along the wave front. The work presented here extends a powerful framework in population genetics to a canonical physical model of range expansion, which we hope allows for continued development of these models in both fields.It has been observed in a variety of clinical and experimental contexts that cell populations in a spatially complex 2 environment can rapidly adapt to selective pressures, including the presence of antibiotics 1-5 . Theoretical work has 3 revealed how the spatial dynamics of population movement actively modulate evolutionary dynamics. Indeed, in 4 many circumstances, movement of a population to a new environment, or range expansion, drives population allele 5 frequencies from steady state 6 .
6For example, it has been demonstrated that mutants arising closer to the front of the moving population during 7 range expansion carry a higher likelihood of fixing throughout the migrating population than in a well-mixed 8 population 7-9 . Further, range expansion can facilitate fixation of mutants that would otherwise not occur in a static 9 population 6, 10, 11 . This can be observed in a canonical reaction-diffusion model of range-expansion (Box 1), which 10 models population movement in a wave-like manner. In this model, individuals at the front of the wave proliferate 11 faster than those that do not due to access to empty space 12 . In addition, as the population continues to move, 12 the offspring of individuals at the wave front remain there and continue to exploit the empty space ahead of the 13 front. In this way, mutants arising at the wave front have enhanced proliferative capacity. Theoretical work on this 14 phenomenon, called mutation surfing, often in the context of an analogous stochastic model 13 , has shown that this 15 phenomenon occurs for deleterious, neutral, and beneficial mutations alike, underscoring the non-trivial impact of 16 range expansion on evolutionary dynamics 8, 14-16 . 17 We hypothesize that the observation that mutation surfing is less likely for a mutant arising from the wave bulk 18 than a mutant from the...