Objectives: Tumor hypoxia is associated with metastasis and resistance to chemotherapy and radiotherapy. Genes involved in oxygen-sensing are clinically relevant and have significant implications on prognosis.
Methods:We identified of two signatures, signature 1 (good prognosis) and signature 2 (adverse prognosis), each consisting of 5 genes using three pancreatic cancer cohorts (n=681). We validated the signatures' performance in predicting survival in ten cancers using Cox regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses.
Results: Signature 1 and signature 2 were associated with good and poor overall survival respectively. Prognosis of signature 1 in 8 cohorts representing 6 cancers (n=2,627): bladder (hazard ratio [HR]=0.68, P=0.039), papillary renal cell (HR=0.35, P=0.013), liver (HR=0.64, P=0.033 and HR=0.49, P=0.025), lung (HR=0.66, P=0.014) and pancreatic (HR=0.42, P<0.001 and HR=0.64, P=0.04) and endometrial (HR=0.40, P<0.001). Prognosis of signature 2 in 12 cohorts representing 9 cancers (n=4,134): bladder (HR=1.46, P=0.039), cervical (HR=1.97, P=0.035), head and neck (HR=1.39, P=0.038), renal clear cell (HR=1.47, P=0.012), papillary renal cell (HR=3.89, P=0.0015), liver (HR=5.10, P<0.0001 and HR=2.26, P<0.001), lung (HR=1.54, P=0.011), pancreatic (HR=2.09, P=0.002, HR=1.46, P=0.018, and HR=1.99, P<0.0001) and stomach (HR=1.78, P=0.004). Multivariate Cox regression confirmed independent clinical relevance of signatures in these cancers. ROC analyses confirmed superior performance of signatures to current tumor staging benchmarks. KDM8 is a potential tumor suppressor downregulated in liver and pancreatic cancers and is an independent prognostic factor. KDM8 expression negatively correlated with cell cycle regulators. Low KDM8 in tumors was associated with loss of cell adhesion phenotype through HNF4A signaling. Conclusions: Pan-cancer signatures of oxygen-sensing genes used for risk assessment in 10 cancers (n=6,761) could guide individualized treatment plans. Low Risk, PCDHA1 WT Low Risk, PCDHA1 mutant High Risk, PCDHA1 WT High Risk, PCDHA1 mutant Low Risk, PCDHA1 WT Low Risk, PCDHA1 mutant High Risk, PCDHA1 WT High Risk, PCDHA1 mutant