Abstract. In the high Arctic valley of Adventdalen, Svalbard, sub-permafrost
groundwater feeds several pingo springs distributed along the valley axis.
The driving mechanism for groundwater discharge and associated pingo
formation is enigmatic because wet-based glaciers are not present in the
adjacent highlands and the presence of continuous permafrost seems to
preclude recharge of the sub-permafrost groundwater system by either a
subglacial source or a precipitation surplus. Since the pingo springs
enable methane that has accumulated underneath the permafrost to escape
directly to the atmosphere, our limited understanding of the groundwater
system brings significant uncertainty to predictions of how methane
emissions will respond to changing climate. We address this problem with a
new conceptual model for open-system pingo formation wherein pingo growth is
sustained by sub-permafrost pressure effects, as related to the expansion of
water upon freezing, during millennial-scale basal permafrost aggradation.
We test the viability of this mechanism for generating groundwater flow with
decoupled heat (one-dimensional transient) and groundwater (three-dimensional steady state) transport
modelling experiments. Our results suggest that the conceptual model
represents a feasible mechanism for the formation of open-system pingos in
lower Adventdalen and elsewhere. We also explore the potential for
additional pressurisation and find that methane production and methane
clathrate formation and dissolution deserve particular attention on account
of their likely effects upon the hydraulic pressure. Our model simulations
also suggest that the generally low-permeability hydrogeological units cause
groundwater residence times to exceed the duration of the Holocene. The
likelihood of such pre-Holocene groundwater ages is supported by the
geochemistry of the pingo springs which demonstrates an unexpected seaward
freshening of groundwater potentially caused by a palaeo-subglacial meltwater “wedge” from the Weichselian. Whereas permafrost thickness (and age)
progressively increases inland, accordingly, the sub-permafrost meltwater
wedge thins, and less unfrozen freshwater is available for mixing. Our
observations imply that millennial-scale permafrost aggradation deserves
more attention as a possible driver of sustained flow of sub-permafrost
groundwater and methane to the surface because, although the hydrological
system in Adventdalen at first appears unusual, it is likely that similar
systems have developed in other uplifted valleys throughout the Arctic.