“…However, modeled and observed shoreline changes on sandy coastlines still tend to show poor agreement over larger‐spatial (>10 1 km) and longer‐temporal (>10 1 years) scales (e.g., Gutierrez et al, ; French et al, ; Yates & Le Cozannet, ). The number and variety of controls and processes that can affect sandy shoreline change, including sea‐level rise (Ashton & Lorenzo‐Trueba, ; Leatherman et al, ; Moore et al, ; Moore et al, ; Murray & Moore, ; Plant et al, ); anthropogenic modifications (Armstrong & Lazarus, ; Hapke et al, ; Johnson et al, ; Miselis & Lorenzo‐Trueba, ; Rogers et al, ; Smith et al, ); geologic substrate (Cooper et al, ; Hauser et al, ; Lazarus & Murray, ; Moore et al, ; Valvo et al, ), nearshore bathymetry (Browder & McNinch, ; McNinch, ; Schupp et al, ), and regional geography (Cooper et al, ; Plant et al, ); wave climate (Anderson et al, ; Antolinez et al, ; Slott et al, ); and sediment grain size (Dean & Dalrymple, ; Komar, ), makes determining their relative contributions difficult, whether empirically or with numerical modeling. The influence of these factors changes with spatial scale (Lazarus et al, ; List et al, )—and at regional scales, a key but commonly overlooked driver of shoreline change is planform curvature.…”