Geographic range predicts photosynthetic and growth response to warming in co-occurring tree species

Reich, Peter B.; Sendall, Kerrie M.; Rice, Karen; Rich, Roy L.; Stefański, Artur; Hobbie, Sarah E.; Montgomery, Rebecca

doi:10.1038/nclimate2497

Cited by 193 publications

(227 citation statements)

References 29 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

216

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Reich et al 33. examined the photosynthetic and growth responses of 11 species of juvenile trees to experimental above- and belowground warming at a study site in northern Minnesota.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the anticipated growth response of northern conifer populations to a warming climate

Pedlar

McKenney

2017

Sci Rep

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The growth response of trees to ongoing climate change has important implications for future forest dynamics, accurate carbon accounting, and sustainable forest management. We used data from black spruce (Picea mariana) and jack pine (Pinus banksiana) provenance trials, along with published data for three other northern conifers, to identify a consistent growth response to climate warming in which cold-origin populations are expected to benefit and warm-origin populations are expected to decline. Specifically, populations from across the geographic range of a species appear to grow well at temperatures characteristic of the southern portion of the range, indicating significant potential for a positive growth response to climate warming in cold-origin populations. Few studies have quantified and compared this pattern across multiple species using provenance data. We present a forest regeneration strategy that incorporates these anticipated growth responses to promote populations that are both local to the planting site and expected to grow well under climate change.

show abstract

“…Reich et al 33. examined the photosynthetic and growth responses of 11 species of juvenile trees to experimental above- and belowground warming at a study site in northern Minnesota.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the anticipated growth response of northern conifer populations to a warming climate

Pedlar

McKenney

2017

Sci Rep

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Boreal and temperate tree species responded positively to experimental warming near their cold range limit but negatively near their warm range limit; thus, boreal species are expected to be outcompeted by temperate species at their southern range limits under global warming (75). Faster changes in montane meadow plots that were experimentally heated for more than two decades compared with unheated plots could be positively attributed to climate change.…”

Section: Experimentally Manipulating Global Change Factorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Global change and terrestrial plant community dynamics

Franklin

Serra‐Diaz

Syphard

et al. 2016

Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A.

335

225

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This contribution is part of a special series of Inaugural Articles by members of the National Academy of Sciences elected in 2014.Contributed by Janet Franklin, February 2, 2016 (sent for review October 8, 2015; reviewed by Gregory P. Asner, Monica G. Turner, and Peter M. Vitousek)Anthropogenic drivers of global change include rising atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gasses and resulting changes in the climate, as well as nitrogen deposition, biotic invasions, altered disturbance regimes, and land-use change. Predicting the effects of global change on terrestrial plant communities is crucial because of the ecosystem services vegetation provides, from climate regulation to forest products. In this paper, we present a framework for detecting vegetation changes and attributing them to global change drivers that incorporates multiple lines of evidence from spatially extensive monitoring networks, distributed experiments, remotely sensed data, and historical records. Based on a literature review, we summarize observed changes and then describe modeling tools that can forecast the impacts of multiple drivers on plant communities in an era of rapid change. Observed responses to changes in temperature, water, nutrients, land use, and disturbance show strong sensitivity of ecosystem productivity and plant population dynamics to water balance and long-lasting effects of disturbance on plant community dynamics. Persistent effects of land-use change and human-altered fire regimes on vegetation can overshadow or interact with climate change impacts. Models forecasting plant community responses to global change incorporate shifting ecological niches, population dynamics, species interactions, spatially explicit disturbance, ecosystem processes, and plant functional responses. Monitoring, experiments, and models evaluating multiple change drivers are needed to detect and predict vegetation changes in response to 21st century global change.climate change | drought | forests | global change | land-use change T errestrial plant communities include forests, woodlands, shrublands, and grasslands; they support economic activities including forestry and grazing and provide other ecosystem services (1) such as carbon sequestration and water delivery. Plant communities play a key role in global biogeochemical cycles of carbon, oxygen, water, and nitrogen, with feedbacks to the oceans, atmosphere, and climate. The distribution of animals on land is often influenced by the distribution of vegetation, and therefore, plant community dynamics affect biodiversity. Changes in the Earth's vegetation in response to climate change, and associated faunal changes, may have played a role in the evolution of the human lineage (2, 3). Thus, human populations have a vested interest in understanding rapid global change effects on terrestrial plant communities.Anthropogenic drivers of global change include rising atmospheric concentrations of CO 2 and other greenhouse gasses and associated changes in the climate, as well...

show abstract

“…Temperature treatments were applied using an outdoor, open-air mesoscale experiment termed 'B4WarmED' (http://forestecology. cfans.umn.edu/ Research/B4WARMED), which, beginning in 2009, has simulated spring through autumn temperatures predicted from climate change models (see Reich et al, 2015 andRich et al, 2015 for details). This infrastructure includes replicated heated plots that incorporate juvenile stands containing two hosts, trembling aspen and paper birch, and eight other native tree species, all from local (northern Minnesota) sources.…”

Section: Experimental Designmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In the southern boreal forest, mean annual temperatures have risen %1.5°C since 1940 (Bale et al, 2002;Battisti et al, 2005;Netherer and Schopf, 2010) and are expected to increase an additional 3-7°C in winter and 3-11°C in summer by 2100 (Kling et al, 2003). Even slight increases in mean annual temperature may be critical along the current lower latitudinal limits of boreal ecosystems, potentially contributing to forest dieback and regime shifts (Olsson, 2010;Michaelian et al, 2011;Fisichelli et al, 2014;Reich et al, 2015).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of winter temperatures, spring degree-day accumulation, and insect population source on phenological synchrony between forest tent caterpillar and host trees

Uelmen

Lindroth

Tobin

et al. 2016

Forest Ecology and Management

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

a b s t r a c tGlobal climate change has the potential to dramatically alter multiple ecosystem processes, including herbivory. The development rates of both plants and insects are highly sensitive to temperature. Although considerable work has examined the effects of temperature on spring phenologies of plants and insects individually, few studies have examined how anticipated warming will influence their phenological synchrony. We applied elevated temperatures of 1.7 and 3.4°C in a controlled chamberless outdoor experiment in northeastern Minnesota, USA to examine the relative responses in onset of egg eclosion by forest tent caterpillar (Malacosoma disstria Hübner) and budbreak of two of its major host trees (trembling aspen, Populus tremuloides Michaux, and paper birch, Betula papyrifera Marshall). We superimposed four insect population sources and two overwintering regimes onto these treatments, and computed degree-day models. Timing of egg hatch varied among population source, overwintering location, and spring temperature regime. As expected, the development rates of plants and insects advanced under warmer conditions relative to ambient controls. However, budbreak advanced more than egg hatch. The degree of phenological synchrony between M. disstria and each host plant was differentially altered in response to warming. The interval by which birch budbreak preceded egg hatch nearly doubled from ambient to +1.7°C. In the case of aspen, the sequence changed from egg hatch preceding, to following, budbreak at +3.4°C. Additionally, under temperature regimes simulating future conditions, some insect populations currently south of our study sites became more synchronous with the manipulated hosts than did currently coexisting insect populations. These findings reveal how climate warming can alter insect-host plant interactions, through changes in phenological synchrony, possibly driving host shifts among tree species and genotypes. They also suggest how herbivore variability, both among populations and within individual egg masses, may provide opportunities for adaptation, especially in species that are highly mobile and polyphagous.

show abstract

Geographic range predicts photosynthetic and growth response to warming in co-occurring tree species

Cited by 193 publications

References 29 publications

Assessing the anticipated growth response of northern conifer populations to a warming climate

Assessing the anticipated growth response of northern conifer populations to a warming climate

Global change and terrestrial plant community dynamics

Effects of winter temperatures, spring degree-day accumulation, and insect population source on phenological synchrony between forest tent caterpillar and host trees

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About