2021
DOI: 10.1080/10095020.2021.1977093
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Geographically varying relationships between population flows from Wuhan and COVID-19 cases in Chinese cities

Abstract: The COVID-19 epidemic widely spread across China from Wuhan, Hubei Province, because of huge migration before 2020 Chinese New Year. Previous studies demonstrated that population outflows from Wuhan determined COVID-19 cases in other cities but neglected spatial heterogeneities of their relationships. Here, we use Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model to investigate the spatially varying influences of outflows from Wuhan. Overall, the GWR model increases explanatory ability of outflows from Wuhan by 2… Show more

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Cited by 18 publications
(9 citation statements)
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“…Based on the network structure analysis and visualization, we find that the largest clusters of infection in most provinces included cases with a history of residence or travelling in Wuhan, then gathering activities lead to a larger transmission range. Besides, clusters of infection in some areas mostly formed after February 2020, which may be caused by gathering activities during the Spring Festival [ 59 , 60 , 61 , 62 ]. This is another proof that control of gathering activities and quarantine of infected populations are especially critical in the prevention and control of the epidemic.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Based on the network structure analysis and visualization, we find that the largest clusters of infection in most provinces included cases with a history of residence or travelling in Wuhan, then gathering activities lead to a larger transmission range. Besides, clusters of infection in some areas mostly formed after February 2020, which may be caused by gathering activities during the Spring Festival [ 59 , 60 , 61 , 62 ]. This is another proof that control of gathering activities and quarantine of infected populations are especially critical in the prevention and control of the epidemic.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“… where is the sensitivity weight of , and is the number of input variables. If , then is fit to the network; thus eliminating from the input variable set will end up in a significant decrease in the error rate of the prediction model (Xu et al 2021 ). Although identifying the impact of agents is not properly possible with this method, what affects a complex and unexplained system behaviour can be tested.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…set will end up in a significant decrease in the error rate of the prediction model (Xu et al 2021). Although identifying the impact of agents is not properly possible with this method, what affects a complex and unexplained system behaviour can be tested.…”
Section: Stepwise Sensitivity Analysismentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Liu et al 2019), public health (e.g. Wang et al 2019;Xu et al 2021), agriculture (e.g. Harris et al 2017), and environmental science (e.g.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%