“…The process‐based Water Supply Stress Index (WaSSI) was calculated to corroborate the results of the attribution analysis obtained with the empirical CEM. WaSSI (Sun, McNulty, Moore‐Myers, & Cohen, ; Sun et al, ) has been used in CONUS‐wide studies, for example, to evaluate environmental change impacts on ecosystem services (Caldwell, Sun, McNulty, Cohen, & Moore Myers, ), effects of urbanization and water withdrawals on streamflow (Caldwell, Sun, McNulty, Cohen, & Moore Myers, ), impacts of dairy production on water scarcity (Matlock et al, ), and drought effects in national forests (Sun et al, ). Monthly precipitation and air temperature from gridded PRISM data were scaled to the 12‐digit HUC watershed scale and used as input for WaSSI to calculate monthly water balances for eight land cover classes for the reference and post‐disturbance period.…”