German car buyers’ willingness to pay to reduce CO2 emissions

Achtnicht, Martin

doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0362-8

Cited by 182 publications

(44 citation statements)

References 46 publications

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“…For the evaluation of cars' eco-friendliness, several authors studied the attribute CO2 emissions (Bhat et al, 2009;Achtnicht, 2012;Ziegler, 2012;Olson, 2013). However, expert interviews and the pretest revealed that this attribute does not belong to the most important attributes and we consequently excluded it from the study.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adaptive Hybrid Methods for Choice-Based Conjoint Analysis: A Comparative Study

Bauer¹,

Menrad²,

Decker³

2015

IJMS

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Adaptive choice-based conjoint analysis (ACBC) and hybrid individualized two-level choice-based conjoint analysis (HIT-CBC) were developed to improve standard choice-based conjoint analysis through additional interviewing techniques. Both methods have demonstrated their applicability in comparison to standard choice-based conjoint methods. The objective of our study was a direct comparison of the two adaptive hybrid methods ACBC and HIT-CBC. Therefore, we analysed the previous comparative literature on the methods and used the results to conduct both a Monte Carlo simulation study and an empirical study for validity comparisons. The simulation study confirms the vulnerability of HIT-CBC to produce incorrect ratings of respondents in the last part of the questionnaire. The empirical findings reveal an advantage of ACBC in comparison to the current version of HIT-CBC. We conclude that the rating tasks in the last section of HIT-CBC questionnaires reduce the predictive validity of the method and suggest an improvement to HIT-CBC.

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adaptive Hybrid Methods for Choice-Based Conjoint Analysis: A Comparative Study

Bauer¹,

Menrad²,

Decker³

2015

IJMS

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“…At the same time, it is of great importance for the acceptance of such policy measures that questions regarding allocation, in particular, between renters and property owners, as well as incentive problems [46,47] be given full consideration [48,49]. Similarly, systematic incentives are to be developed in the area of transportation [50]: to complement the ambitious formulation of political goals, instruments have to be created quickly to implement such incentives. We are unable in this context to delve deeper into these extremely important complementary modules in the energy transition.…”

Section: Push the Energy Transition In The Sectors' Heat And Transpormentioning

confidence: 99%

The future of the energy transition in Germany

et al. 2014

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Although the goals of the country's energy transition (Energiewende) are widely accepted in Germany, the specific route to get there is itself a matter of great controversy. The individual measures that are part of the energy transition policy and the questions of how they interact and how they are embedded in the European context are objects of controversial scientific and public debate. Most recently, the consequences for the price of electricity have, in particular, been discussed intensely. Against this backdrop of wide-ranging criticism, the future course for promoting renewable energy will soon be set. The German Renewable Energy Sources Act (the Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz, EEG), which is the main instrument of energy transition policy with its feed-in tariffs, is supposed to be fundamentally revised in the course of this year. A precondition for achieving a coherent further development of the energy transition policy and for receiving the sound support of a critical public is that the long-term consequences of political decisions on a complex sociotechnical energy system be taken into account. The requirements of such a system are not satisfied by policy approaches or recommendations that target short-term effects or that are perceptions of problems extrapolated from individual sectors. On the basis of its integrated research on the energy transition, researchers from the Helmholtz Alliance Energy-Trans take a stand on current important controversial issues from the energy transformation and specify fundamental challenges to shaping a sustainable energy transition policy.Keywords: Energy transition; Sustainability; Germany; European Union; State aid; Renewable energy sources; Feed-in tariff; Federalism; Energy policy; Market designThe energy transition: a long-term project and a challenge to the system The energy transition in Germany is nothing less than the restructuring of the entire energy supply in the sectors' electricity, heat, and transportation in a highly industrialized country. This comprehensive reorganization is a task for generations, and yet the fundamental framework has to be created today. Although there continues to be a high level of approval in the general public [1][2][3][4] and among all political forces [5], essential components of the German energy transition policy are themselves currently being subject to criticism, some of it very intense. The focus of this criticism is most frequently on the renewable energy supports provided for the generation of electricity, which take the form of feed-in tariffs permitted by the Renewable Energy Sources Act (Erneuerbare-Energien- Gesetz (EEG)).a Challenges to the energy transition go, however, far beyond this. What is required is a long-term process of transforming a complex sociotechnical system [6,7] in which the goal is to set the course of change so that tomorrow's energy supply works, its consumption of resources, and its impact on the environment are limited to a sustainable level, and, in the process, efficiency and social ac...

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“…The survey was designed to garner insights into consumer preferences for alternative-fuel vehicles (see Achtnicht, 2011;Ziegler, 2011;Achtnicht et al, 2012). A total of approximately 600 interviews were conducted at various car dealerships and branch offices of TÜV, the German agency responsible for certifying vehicle roadworthiness.…”

Section: Vehicle Choice Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, based on the results of a pretest, the survey team at that time concluded that the experimental design was appropriate and not overly challenging. For a more detailed discussion of the issue of choice complexity, see Achtnicht (2011), which uses the same data set. tributes, but were otherwise identical.…”

Section: Vehicle Choice Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Different analyses have been performed using the data coming from this Germany-wide survey of potential light-duty-vehicle buyers using computer-assisted personal interviewing (Achtnicht, 2011;Achtnicht et al, 2012). For example, Achtnicht et al (2012) analyze the effect of fuel availability on demand for alternative-fuel vehicles using the same choice data, focusing on marginal probability effects as well as on the determination of willingness to pay for increased fuel availability as derived from a standard conditional logit model.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Forecasting Adoption of Ultra-Low-Emission Vehicles Using the GHK Simulator and Bayes Estimates of a Multinomial Probit Model

Daziano

Achtnicht

2012

SSRN Journal

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Die Dis cus si on Pape rs die nen einer mög lichst schnel len Ver brei tung von neue ren For schungs arbei ten des ZEW. Die Bei trä ge lie gen in allei ni ger Ver ant wor tung der Auto ren und stel len nicht not wen di ger wei se die Mei nung des ZEW dar.Dis cus si on Papers are inten ded to make results of ZEW research prompt ly avai la ble to other eco no mists in order to encou ra ge dis cus si on and sug gesti ons for revi si ons. The aut hors are sole ly respon si ble for the con tents which do not neces sa ri ly repre sent the opi ni on of the ZEW. Non-technical SummaryIn the European Union, transport is the largest consumer of oil products and second largest emitter of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ); within the sector, road transport dominates in both regards. Consumer shift to ultra-low-emission vehicles has been regarded as a way to promote sustainable personal transportation. Whereas new low-emission technologies -including battery electric vehicles -have clear benefits such as efficiency gains and emission reductions, there are several barriers preventing broad adoption. On the one hand, electric vehicles are much more expensive than standard gas vehicles with a similar build. On the other hand, consumers face reliability issues, namely limited and variable driving range, and lack of refueling stations.Using stated-preference data on vehicle choice from a Germany-wide survey of potential light-duty-vehicle buyers using computer-assisted personal interviewing, in this paper we analyze market shares of different automotive technologies produced by a discrete choice model with flexible substitution among different fuel types. Effectively, we propose a methodology to use the estimates of a probit model to produce both market-share forecasts as well as Bayesian confidence intervals for the forecasted shares. These forecasts are simulated from the posterior distribution of a Bayesian model and account for uncertainty. Having better tools to address uncertainty is particularly relevant in the context of modeling consumer response to emerging energy-efficient technologies.We define a base scenario of vehicle attributes that aims at representing an average of the current vehicle choice situation in Germany. Consumer response to qualitative changes in the base scenario is subsequently studied. Because limited fuel availability is a major obstacle to consumer adoption of low-emission vehicles, we analyze the specific effect of increasing the density of the network of service stations for charging electric vehicles as well as for refueling hydrogen-fueled vehicles. Our results indicate that if availability of charging is increased to its maximum, electric vehicles would experience a greater than three-fold increase in market penetration. Das Wichtigste in KürzeDer Transportsektor ist innerhalb der Europäischen Union der größte Konsument vonÖlprodukten und der zweitgrößte Emittent von Kohlenstoffdioxid (CO 2 ), wobei der Straßenverkehr in beiderlei Hinsicht dominierend ist. Die Verlagerung der Nachfrage hin zu besonders e...

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German car buyers’ willingness to pay to reduce CO2 emissions

Cited by 182 publications

References 46 publications

Adaptive Hybrid Methods for Choice-Based Conjoint Analysis: A Comparative Study

Adaptive Hybrid Methods for Choice-Based Conjoint Analysis: A Comparative Study

The future of the energy transition in Germany

Forecasting Adoption of Ultra-Low-Emission Vehicles Using the GHK Simulator and Bayes Estimates of a Multinomial Probit Model

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