OBJECTIVE -Under the auspices of the National Institutes of Health, American Diabetes Association, and World Health Organization, expert committees lowered the fasting plasma glucose (FPG) concentration diagnostic for diabetes from 7.8 to 7.0 mmol/l and defined 6.1-6.9 mmol/l as impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and Ͻ6.1 mmol/l as normal fasting glucose. In 2003, IFG was lowered to 5.6 -6.9 mmol/l and normal fasting glucose to Ͻ5.6 mmol/l. Reports of the relationship between glucose concentration and all-cause mortality have been inconsistent. It is not known if the 2-h plasma glucose (2hPG) concentration from an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) adds to the predictive power of FPG.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS -We followed 1,236 men for an average of 13.4 years to determine the relationship between both FPG and 2hPG and all-cause mortality.RESULTS -Risk for mortality did not increase until the FPG exceeded 6.1 mmol/l. Risk increased by ϳ40% in the 6.1-6.9 mmol/l range and doubled when FPG ranged from 7.0 to 7.7 mmol/l. A combination of the 2hPG and FPG allowed better estimation of risk than the FPG alone. Within any category of FPG, risk generally increased as the 2hPG increased, and within any category of 2hPG, risk generally increased as the FPG increased.CONCLUSIONS -These data support the decision to lower the FPG diagnostic for diabetes from 7.8 to 7.0 mmol/l, show that both IFG and impaired glucose tolerance have risks between the normal and diabetic ranges, and show that the OGTT adds predictive power to that of FPG alone and should not be abandoned. The lowering of IFG to 5.6 mmol/l from 6.1 mmol/l, at least for mortality, is, however, not supported by our results. (5), and 1999 (6). Over this 25-year period, standards for interpreting the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) were identical and unchanged in the U.S. and WHO reports; an impaired zone was defined as 140 -199 mg/dl (7.8 -11.0 mmol/l) and the diabetic cut point was defined as 200 mg/dl (11.1 mmol/l). The standards for interpreting the FPG changed over the years. In the early reports, no impaired zone was defined (1,4,5). Both the U.S. and WHO committees recommended that the cut point for diabetes be 140 mg/dl (7.8 mmol/l). In subsequent reports, the U.S. (2) and WHO (6) recommended that an impaired fasting glucose (IFG) zone of 110 -125 mg/dl (6.1-6.9 mmol/l) be created and also that the diabetic cut point be lowered to 126 mg/dl (7.0 mmol/l). Most recently (3), the U.S. committee changed the IFG zone to 100 -125 mg/dl (5.6 -6.9 mmol/l). Inevitably, data from population studies have become difficult to compare and to interpret because the definitions of impaired and diabetic test results have changed.
Diabetes CareThe purpose of the present study is to examine the risks of mortality from these variously defined categories of glucose metabolism, to evaluate whether the OGTT adds power to the FPG value as a predictor of risk, and to examine the literature critically with respect to these questions.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS -The 1,236 men include...