Global alcohol exposure between 1990 and 2017 and forecasts until 2030: a modelling study

Manthey, Jakob; Shield, Kevin D.; Rylett, Margaret; Hasan, Omer Syed Muhammad; Probst, Charlotte; Rehm, Jürgen

doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(18)32744-2

Cited by 626 publications

(577 citation statements)

References 19 publications

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“…While these are ecologic data, they seem to indicate that AUDs are impacted by operational definitions unrelated to the underlying diagnostic criteria. Overall, the only moderate correlation between adult per capita consumption and AUDs—with an explained variance of less than 40%—also corroborates this conclusion (the 40% value was derived from a Pearson correlation of values for all countries, based on Manthey et al., ). At least for epidemiologic research, it is probably wiser to rely on heavy drinking levels over time to determine the prevalence of AUDs rather than depending on surveys which ask for behavioral criteria in a stepwise fashion, and then construct a “diagnosis” based on the responses (Rehm, ).…”

Section: Were the Criteria Changed To Address Issues Of Cultural Specsupporting

confidence: 58%

ICD‐11 for Alcohol Use Disorders: Not a Convincing Answer to the Challenges

Rehm

Heilig

Gual

2019

Alcoholism Clin & Exp Res

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Section: Were the Criteria Changed To Address Issues Of Cultural Specsupporting

confidence: 58%

ICD‐11 for Alcohol Use Disorders: Not a Convincing Answer to the Challenges

Rehm

Heilig

Gual

2019

Alcoholism Clin & Exp Res

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“…A relaxation of alcohol control measures and increasing personal distress related to the COVID‐19 outbreak could lead to an increase in alcohol consumption and/or a worsening of patterns in the long term . Thus, the economic crisis of 2007/2008 had no lasting impact on the overall slight increase in global alcohol consumption until 2017 .…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Alcohol use in times of the COVID 19: Implications for monitoring and policy

Rehm

Kilian

Ferreira‐Borges

et al. 2020

Drug and Alcohol Review

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Based on a literature search undertaken to determine the impacts of past public health crises, and a systematic review of the effects of past economic crises on alcohol consumption, two main scenarios-with opposite predictions regarding the impact of the current COVID-19 pandemic on the level and patterns of alcohol consumption-are introduced. The first scenario predicts an increase in consumption for some populations, particularly men, due to distress experienced as a result of the pandemic. A second scenario predicts the opposite outcome, a lowered level of consumption, based on the decreased physical and financial availability of alcohol. With the current restrictions on alcohol availability, it is postulated that, for the immediate future, the predominant scenario will likely be the second, while the distress experienced in the first may become more relevant in the medium-and longer-term future. Monitoring consumption levels both during and after the COVID-19 pandemic will be necessary to better understand the effects of COVID-19 on different groups, as well as to distinguish them from those arising from existing alcohol control policies. [Rehm J, Kilian C, Ferreira-Borges C, Jernigan D, Monteiro M, Parry CDH, Sanchez ZM, Manthey J. Alcohol use in times of the COVID 19: Implications for monitoring and policy. Drug Alcohol Rev 2020;39: [301][302][303][304]

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“…As expected, the lowest rates reported are seen in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, in the belt of the Muslim countries. The highest rates are found in Eastern European, West African, and Central Asian countries; the latter are relatively high in world rankings of alcohol consumption but are not necessarily among the top 20 [33].…”

Section: Alcoholic Liver Disease (Based On [36] and [5])mentioning

confidence: 96%

“…Alcohol is consumed by more than half of the population in the Americas, Europe, and in the Western Pacific region, which includes China [4]. Worldwide, alcohol use has increased over the past three decades, and is expected to continue to do so, both in its prevalence and level of use [33].…”

Section: Alcohol Use Disordersmentioning

confidence: 99%

Global Burden of Alcohol Use Disorders and Alcohol Liver Disease

2019

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Alcohol use is a major risk factor for burden of mortality and morbidity. Alcoholic liver disease (ALD) and alcohol use disorders (AUDs) are important disease outcomes caused by alcohol use. We will describe the global mortality and burden of disease in disability-adjusted life years for ALD and AUDs, based on data from the comparative risk assessment of the World Health Organization for 2016. AUDs have a limited impact on mortality in this assessment, since alcohol poisonings are almost the only disease category directly attributable to AUDs; most other alcohol-related deaths are indirect, and the cause which directly led to the death, such as liver cirrhosis, is the one recorded on the death certificate. Burden of disease for AUDs is thus mainly due to disability resulting from alcohol use. In contrast to AUDs, ALD is one of the major lethal outcomes of alcohol use, and burden of disease is mainly due to (premature) years of life lost. Many of the negative outcomes attributable to both AUDs and ALD are due to their interactions with other factors, most notably economic wealth. To avoid alcohol-attributable morbidity and mortality, measures should be taken to reduce the AUDs and ALD burden globally, especially among the poor.

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Global alcohol exposure between 1990 and 2017 and forecasts until 2030: a modelling study

Cited by 626 publications

References 19 publications

ICD‐11 for Alcohol Use Disorders: Not a Convincing Answer to the Challenges

ICD‐11 for Alcohol Use Disorders: Not a Convincing Answer to the Challenges

Alcohol use in times of the COVID 19: Implications for monitoring and policy

Global Burden of Alcohol Use Disorders and Alcohol Liver Disease

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