2022
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01479-2
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Global decline of pelagic fauna in a warmer ocean

Abstract: Pelagic fauna is expected to be impacted under climate change according to ecosystem simulations. However, the direction and magnitude of the impact is still uncertain and still not corroborated by observational-based statistical studies. Here we compile a global underwater sonar database and 20 ocean climate projections to predict the future distribution of sound-scattering fauna around the world's oceans. We show that global pelagic fauna will be seriously compromised by the end of the 21 st century, if we c… Show more

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Cited by 35 publications
(9 citation statements)
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“…We were unable to directly quantify foraging at depth, and therefore, the absolute value of deep resources to these predators remains unknown. However, our results suggest that mesopelagic forage species contribute significantly to the energy budgets of pelagic predators and highlight the need for additional research to better characterize the ecological value of this connectivity, particularly in light of climate-induced changes to midwater ecosystems ( 70 , 71 ) and planned harvest of mesopelagic resources ( 72 , 73 ). Despite extensive diet data supporting the importance of mesopelagic prey for a suite of predator taxa [reviewed in ref.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 83%
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“…We were unable to directly quantify foraging at depth, and therefore, the absolute value of deep resources to these predators remains unknown. However, our results suggest that mesopelagic forage species contribute significantly to the energy budgets of pelagic predators and highlight the need for additional research to better characterize the ecological value of this connectivity, particularly in light of climate-induced changes to midwater ecosystems ( 70 , 71 ) and planned harvest of mesopelagic resources ( 72 , 73 ). Despite extensive diet data supporting the importance of mesopelagic prey for a suite of predator taxa [reviewed in ref.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 83%
“…Better accounting is needed to more accurately quantify the potentially significant role of predators and the impacts of associated fisheries for predators ( 75 ) and prey ( 72 , 73 ) in the marine carbon cycle. Together, the overlap in ongoing fishing effort and pelagic predator distributions ( 76 ), expected climate-induced changes in pelagic ecosystems ( 70 , 71 , 77 ), and the potential extraction of mesopelagic biomass ( 72 , 73 ) suggest that this critical link may be in jeopardy.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Thus, acute sensory capabilities lead SES to have a much larger ecological footprint and therefore exercise far greater top–down control over Southern Ocean food webs than they would as reactive predators. But even this robust foraging strategy is susceptible to large-scale changes in prey abundance and community structure due to industrial mesopelagic trawling and climate change ( 39 ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Given burgeoning interest in scattering layer fisheries ( 66 ), predictions for climate change to cause a global decline of scattering layer fauna ( 67 ), and scattering layer research being predominantly focused on the globally distributed primary DSL ( 16 , 17 ), increased effort is needed to understand the ecology and biogeography of the SSL in the mid-latitudes. The occurrence of an SSL in multiple subtropical gyres ( 20 , 40 ), the oligotrophic Red Sea ( 68 ), and elsewhere under specific oligotrophic conditions ( 19 ), merits investigation to determine whether high light penetration driving the DSL(s) deeper increases ecological niche availability via vertical segregation.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%