Global extinction probabilities of terrestrial, freshwater, and marine species groups for use in Life Cycle Assessment

Verones, Francesca; Kuipers, Koen; Núñez, Montserrat; Rosa, Francesca; Scherer, Laura; Marques, Alexandra; Michelsen, Ottar; Barbarossa, Valerio; Jaffe, Benjamin D; Pfister, Stephan; Dorber, Martin

doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109204

Cited by 23 publications

(27 citation statements)

References 42 publications

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“…To further develop the methodology, it would be useful to include more detailed biodiversity metrics capable of capturing differences between a larger set of forestry management practices, as done at the local scale by Rossi et al, 22 as well as to improve the robustness of the factors used to scale the extinction risk from regional to global levels. 70 Additionally, refining the spatial allocation of current forest management practices could help to better calibrate the GLOBIOM model in Europe. 71 Furthermore, additional scenarios of global forest management practices outside the EU28 could be added.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Can Forest Management Practices Counteract Species Loss Arising from Increasing European Demand for Forest Biomass under Climate Mitigation Scenarios?

Rosa

Fulvio

Lauri

et al. 2023

Environ. Sci. Technol.

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Forests are home to many species and provide biomass for material and energy. Here, we modeled the potential global species extinction risk from future scenarios of climate mitigation and EU28 forest management. We considered the continuation of current practices, the adoption of closer-to-nature management (low-intensity practices), and set-asides (conversion to unharvested forestland) on portions of EU28 forestland under two climate mitigation pathways as well as the consequences for the wood trade. Expanding set-aside to more than 25% of EU28 currently managed forestland by 2100 increased the global extinction risk compared to the continuation of current practices. This outcome stems from a projected increase in EU forest biomass imports, partially from biodiversity-vulnerable regions to compensate for a decrease in domestic harvest. Conversely, closerto-nature management on up to 37.5% of EU28 forestland lowered extinction risks. Increasing the internal production and partially sourcing imported biomass from low-intensity managed areas lowered the species extinction footprint even further. However, lowintensity practices could not entirely compensate for the increased extinction risk under a high climate mitigation scenario with greater demand for lignocellulosic crops and energywood. When developing climate mitigation strategies, it is crucial to assess forest biomass supply chains for the early detection of extinction risks in non-EU regions and for developing strategies to prevent increase of global impacts.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Can Forest Management Practices Counteract Species Loss Arising from Increasing European Demand for Forest Biomass under Climate Mitigation Scenarios?

Rosa

Fulvio

Lauri

et al. 2023

Environ. Sci. Technol.

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“…Third, the CFs should reflect biodiversity’s intrinsic value and vulnerability. This information is captured within the global extinction probabilities that consider endemism and threat levels …”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“… Combining the regional characterization factors with the corresponding global extinction probabilities (GEPs, dimensionless) transforms the regional PDF (i.e., relative species extirpations) to global PDFs (i.e., relative global species extinctions) (eq ). The PDFs refer to potential relative species losses in the long term if the land-use activities are sustained; thus, they go beyond imminent losses and account for extirpation/extinction debts …”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This information is captured within the global extinction probabilities that consider endemism and threat levels. 30 Fourth, CFs should differentiate basic land use intensities. We distinguish three intensity levels: minimal, light, and intense.…”

Section: Spatial Distribution Of Characterization Factorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The global extinction probabilities of vascular plants were obtained from Verones et al, 30 who also used the plant species distributions from Borgelt et al 34 as a basis for their analysis.…”

Section: Cf Cf Gepmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Biodiversity Impact Assessment Considering Land Use Intensities and Fragmentation

Scherer,

Rosa,

Sun

et al. 2023

Environ. Sci. Technol.

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Land use is a major threat to terrestrial biodiversity. Life cycle assessment is a tool that can assess such threats and thereby support environmental decision-making. Within the Global Guidance for Life Cycle Impact Assessment (GLAM) project, the Life Cycle Initiative hosted by UN Environment aims to create a life cycle impact assessment method across multiple impact categories, including land use impacts on ecosystem quality represented by regional and global species richness. A working group of the GLAM project focused on such land use impacts and developed new characterization factors to combine the strengths of two separate recent advancements in the field: the consideration of land use intensities and land fragmentation. The data sets to parametrize the underlying model are also updated from previous models. The new characterization factors cover five species groups (plants, amphibians, birds, mammals, and reptiles) and five broad land use types (cropland, pasture, plantations, managed forests, and urban land) at three intensity levels (minimal, light, and intense). They are available at the level of terrestrial ecoregions and countries. This paper documents the development of the characterization factors, provides practical guidance for their use, and critically assesses the strengths and remaining shortcomings.

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A new impact pathway towards ecosystem quality in life cycle assessment: characterisation factors for fisheries

Hélias

Stanford-Clark²,

Bach³

2023

Int J Life Cycle Assess

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Global extinction probabilities of terrestrial, freshwater, and marine species groups for use in Life Cycle Assessment

Cited by 23 publications

References 42 publications

Can Forest Management Practices Counteract Species Loss Arising from Increasing European Demand for Forest Biomass under Climate Mitigation Scenarios?

Can Forest Management Practices Counteract Species Loss Arising from Increasing European Demand for Forest Biomass under Climate Mitigation Scenarios?

Biodiversity Impact Assessment Considering Land Use Intensities and Fragmentation

A new impact pathway towards ecosystem quality in life cycle assessment: characterisation factors for fisheries

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