Global trade impacts of increasing Europe's bioenergy demand

Outlook of the European forest-based sector: forest growth, harvest demand, wood-product markets, and forest carbon dynamics implications

“…There are important interdependencies between wood pellets and wood-based products markets. While competing for the same feedstocksroundwood as well as sawmilling byproducts -in the production, the demand for reconstituted wood-based panels, pulp and paper, and wood pellets is interdependently linked to the demand for sawnwood which is driving sawnwood production (Aulisi et al 2008, Jonsson 2013, Johnston & Van Kooten 2016, Jonsson & Rinaldi 2017.…”

“…The European Forest Information Scenario (EFISCEN) model, based on national forest inventory data, was used to project possible future developments of forest resources in EEA (2006,2007), Nabuurs et al (2007) and Verkerk et al (2011), while the other studies mentioned above relied on statistical analysis of international data sets (from FAO or Forest Europe). Several studies have assessed the impact of an increased use of wood for energy on the forest-based sector, mainly with a regional focus (Ince et al 2012 for USA, UN 2011 for Europe, and Lauri et al 2012, Moiseyev et al 2014, European Commission 2016a, and Frank et al 2016 for the EU), but some also with a global scope (Raunikar et al 2010, Buongiorno et al 2011, Johnston & Van Kooten 2016, Jonsson & Rinaldi 2017. Buongiorno et al (2011), Ince et al (2012), Lauri et al (2012), Moiseyev et al (2014), Forsell et al (2016), Johnston & Van Kooten (2016), and Jonsson & Rinaldi (2017) focus on economic implications.…”

“…UN (2011) mainly addresses impacts on forest resources, while European Commission (2016a) and Frank et al (2016) emphasize consequences in terms of greenhouse gas (GHG) flows. Apart from Johnston & Van Kooten (2016), Forsell et al (2016) and Jonsson & Rinaldi (2017), all these studies consider broad, generic, categories of energy wood, thereby failing to account for the intricate interlinkages between wood pellets and woodbased products markets. Further, only consider EU imports of wood pellets, thereby not fully assessing synergies and competition between wood pellets and wood-based products markets.…”

“…Further, only consider EU imports of wood pellets, thereby not fully assessing synergies and competition between wood pellets and wood-based products markets. Johnston & Van Kooten (2016) also lack in detail as to the modelling of wood-based products markets, geographical scope, and forest resources. Since harvest demand is the main factor driving the short-term forest carbon sink (at least at EU level - Pilli et al 2016b), and this is in turn driven by wood-based and energy wood markets, a joint analysis of these two sectors is an essential prerequisite for quantifying the climate change mitigation potential of the forest sector.…”

A Markov Chain Model for Simulating Wood Supply from Any-Aged Forest Management Based on National Forest Inventory (NFI) Data

“…The demand for wood-based biomass is predicted to increase globally [1][2][3][4]. However, many other uses of forests should be considered.…”