2020
DOI: 10.17310/ntj.2020.1.07
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Governmental Expenditure Implications of Autonomous Vehicles

Abstract: The developing expansion of autonomous vehicles and ride-sharing services, as well as a shift to electric vehicles, is expected to have substantial implications for the expenditures of state and local government budgets. I provide a framework for examining such implications and initial estimates of the possible magnitude of these expenditure-side effects. Such an examination is speculative and uncertain, both because the growth of autonomous transportation is unclear and because the expenditure effects depend … Show more

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Cited by 3 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…AVbased services will influence infrastructure and urban space (Crute et al, 2018;Riggs et al, 2019). They will also have implications for public revenues and expenditures (Adler et al, 2019;Blas et al, 2022;Fisher, 2020). According to the ITF's expert survey, AV-based services are expected to positively impact some domains, such as accessibility and safety, and to negatively impact employment by eliminating driver jobs; the expectation for new job creation is mixed.…”
Section: Av Impacts Domains Policy Goals and Deployment Phasesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…AVbased services will influence infrastructure and urban space (Crute et al, 2018;Riggs et al, 2019). They will also have implications for public revenues and expenditures (Adler et al, 2019;Blas et al, 2022;Fisher, 2020). According to the ITF's expert survey, AV-based services are expected to positively impact some domains, such as accessibility and safety, and to negatively impact employment by eliminating driver jobs; the expectation for new job creation is mixed.…”
Section: Av Impacts Domains Policy Goals and Deployment Phasesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Also, seeFisher (2020) andClark (2020) for discussion of autonomous vehicles.15 Other options for replacing lost vehicle taxes include a gross receipts tax on transportation services and vehicle miles travelled fees.16 In the presence of lines that delineate high-tax and low-tax products, technological change can facilitate tax-driven product innovation as new products are developed to avoid the higher tax rate(Gillitzer, Kleven, and Slemrod 2017). But, often time, new products are not developed for tax avoidance reasons.17 Carried interest is an exception which is characterized as capital income when it is better described as labor income.18 See,Hellerstein (1988) for discussion of the experience.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Also, seeFisher (2020) andClark (2020) for discussion of autonomous vehicles.15 Other options for replacing lost vehicle taxes include a gross receipts tax on transportation services and vehicle miles travelled fees.16 In the presence of lines that delineate high-tax and low-tax products, technological change can facilitate tax-driven product innovation as new products are developed to avoid the higher tax rate(Gillitzer, Kleven, and Slemrod 2017). But, often time, new products are not developed for tax avoidance reasons.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%