Using village and household survey data collected from 48 villages of eight Chinese provinces for the period 1986-2002, this paper studies how the introduction of village elections affects income distribution at the village level. We estimate both a static fixed-effect panel model and a dynamic panel model for the within-village Gini coefficient and take care of the endogeneity of the introduction of elections. The dynamic panel model shows that having elections reduces the Gini coefficient by 0.04, or 14.3% of the sample average. We also find that elections tend to increase the income shares of poorer portions of the population. Further econometric analysis based on dynamic panel models shows that elections increase per-capita public expenditures by 271 Yuan, but do not increase the level or progressiveness of net or total income transfer in a village. Therefore, elections' positive role in reducing income inequality is not played through more income redistribution, but through more pro-poor public investment.
Keywords
Grassroots democracy; Income distribution; Dynamic panel modelThere is a growing interest in studying the role of local political institutions in promoting economic growth and equality. This paper adds to the literature by accomplishing two objectives. One is to test whether democratization of Chinese villages centered at the village election has resulted in more equal income distribution within the village in the last twenty years. Besides its possible consequences on social justice, a topic frequently tackled at the national level, income inequality may result in more adverse effects in a local community in terms of public goods provision (Bardhan and Mookherjee, 2005), health outcomes, and for that matter, local economic growth (see Angus Deaton, 2003 for a critical survey). Our other objective is to find out the channel(s) by which village elections have improved income * We thank Abhijit Banerjee, Samuel Bowels, Esther Duflo, Justin Lin, John Strauss, Xiaobo Zhang, two anonymous referees, and participants of the conference "Liberalization experiences in Asia: A normative appraisal" (January 12-13, 2006, Delhi), the 2006 NBER-CCER Annual Conference (June 30-July 2, 2006, Beijing), the 2007 GDN conference (January 14-18, 2007, Beijing), and seminars in the Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Renmin University, the East Asian Institute, the Huazhong University of Science and Technology, the Institute for Rural Development at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Cornell University, Washington University, University of Wisconsin-Madison, The New School, New York University, Colgate University, and Colby College for their valuable comments. We also thank Dwayne Benjamin, Loren Brandt and John Giles for their generosity to share with us part of their data. Mengtao Gao, Ang Sun, Shuna Wang, and Shenwei Zhang provided excellent research assistance. We are grateful for financial supports from the Chinese Medical Board and the National 211 Projects Fund and thank the excellent data...