Greenhouse gas emissions from current and enhanced policies of China until 2030: Can emissions peak before 2030?

Elzen, Michel den; Fekete, Hanna; Höhne, Niklas; Admiraal, Annemiek; Forsell, Nicklas; Hof, Andries F.; Olivier, J. G. J.; Roelfsema, Mark; Soest, Hanneke van

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2015.11.030

Cited by 213 publications

(65 citation statements)

References 16 publications

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“…As the world's largest emitter of greenhouse gas (GHG) and energy consumer, China is responsible for about 20% of global GHG emissions [57]. Under great pressure from international community, the issue of climate change which was largely ignored by the Chinese government has become a high national priority [58].…”

Section: Empirical Settingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of Sustainability and Technology Orientations on Firm Growth: Evidence from Chinese Manufacturing

Lei

2019

Sustainability

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Prior literature from a cognitive perspective analyzing the effects of different content and structure of managerial cognition on sustainability are lacking. This study attempts to fill this gap by examining the relationship between technology orientation, sustainability orientation, and firm growth. Sustainability development has received unprecedented attention in the 12th five-year plan of China, who is the world’s largest energy consumer. This study tested the model of Chinese manufacturing in the year when the 12th five-year plan was published. Under the conditions of transforming economy, this study also considers how distinct institutional and industrial contexts could affect the relations between strategic orientations and firm growth, thereby clarifying the context-based adoption of different strategic orientations for realizing high levels of firm growth.

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Section: Empirical Settingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effects of Sustainability and Technology Orientations on Firm Growth: Evidence from Chinese Manufacturing

Lei

2019

Sustainability

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“…At the 2015 climate conference in Paris, China formally proposed to strive to reach the peak of CO 2 emission in advance by around 2030. In addition, China endeavors to reduce carbon intensity by 60-65% in 2030 based on 2005 levels [3,4]. As one of the main sources of GHG emissions, waste management activities have recently attracted the attention of the government and many researchers.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Empirical Study on Greenhouse Gas Emission Calculations Under Different Municipal Solid Waste Management Strategies

Xin

Zhang

Tsai³

et al. 2020

Applied Sciences

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The Chinese government is committed to ensuring separation of municipal solid waste (MSW), promoting the integrated development of the MSW management system with the renewable resource recovery system, and achieving construction of ecological civilization. Guided by the methods in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) guidelines, the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions under five waste disposal scenarios in Beijing under the life cycle framework were assessed in this research. The study included collection and transportation, as well as three end disposal methods (sanitary landfill, incineration, and composting), and the emission reduction benefits of electricity generation from incineration and recycling of renewable resources were taken into account. The results show that an emission reduction benefit of 70.82% could be achieved under Scenario 5 in which kitchen waste and recyclables are sorted and recycled and the residue is incinerated, and the selection of the optimal strategy was not affected by changes in the separation rate. In addition, landfill would emit more GHG than incineration and composting. The results of this study are helpful for the government to make a decision on MSW management considering the goal of GHG emission reduction.

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“…If the expected GDP growth rate is not provided, additional assumptions are required to quantify the implied absolute level of GHG emissions and these assumptions differ across modelling groups. For example, the estimated emissions for China for 2030 under its INDC range from 12.8 Gt CO 2 -eq yr −1 to 15.0 Gt CO 2 -eq yr −1 in different studies 22,34,35 . At least seven other INDCs, including India's, are subject to the same kind of uncertainties (Supplementary Table 1).…”

Section: Uncertain Projectionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C

Rogelj

Elzen

Höhne

et al. 2016

Nature

Self Cite

2,802

1,326

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-a new global agreement to combat climate change-was adopted under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). In preparation of this agreement, countries submitted national plans that spell out their intentions for addressing the climate change challenge after 2020 2 . These Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) address a range of issues, which can relate to avoiding, adapting or coping with climate change, among other things. Nevertheless, targets and actions for reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are core components. At this point, the INDCs are not final and can be modified up until the time the Paris Agreement is ratified. However, for now they represent our best understanding of the climate actions countries intend to pursue after 2020.The overarching climate goal of the Paris Agreement is to hold "the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C above preindustrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels" 1 . This climate goal represents the level of climate change that governments agree would prevent dangerous interference with the climate system, while ensuring sustainable food production and economic development 3,4 , and is the result of international discussions over multiple decades 5 . Limiting warming to any level implies that the total amount of carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) that can ever be emitted into the atmosphere is finite 6 . From a geophysical perspective, global CO 2 emissions thus need to become net zero 7,8 . About two thirds of the available budget for keeping warming to below 2 °C have already been emitted [9][10][11] , and increasing trends in CO 2 emissions 12 indicate that global emissions urgently need to start to decline so as to not foreclose the possibility of holding warming to well below 2 °C (refs 13, 14). The window for limiting warming to below 1.5 °C with high probability and without temporarily exceeding that level already seems to have closed 15 . The Paris Agreement implicitly acknowledges these insights and aims to reach a global peak in GHG emissions as soon as possible together with achieving "a balance" between anthropogenic emissions and removals of GHGs in the second half of this century. Both targets are in principle consistent with the temperature objective of the Agreement 16,17 , but beg the broader question of whether current INDCs are already putting the world on a path towards achieving them.Besides the climate question, the first round of INDCs also raises many other issues. These include whether efforts are distributed equitably among countries; how much adaptation may be required given the current level of mitigation ambition; how 'intended' national proposals will be implemented; how they will be financed; and the extent to which the INDCs contribute to the achievement of other goals of the UNFCCC by building on institutions that can support adaptation to climate change, technology advancement, development path transformation, sustainable...

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Greenhouse gas emissions from current and enhanced policies of China until 2030: Can emissions peak before 2030?

Cited by 213 publications

References 16 publications

Effects of Sustainability and Technology Orientations on Firm Growth: Evidence from Chinese Manufacturing

Effects of Sustainability and Technology Orientations on Firm Growth: Evidence from Chinese Manufacturing

An Empirical Study on Greenhouse Gas Emission Calculations Under Different Municipal Solid Waste Management Strategies

Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C

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