A sustainable chemical
industry needs to quantify its emissions
and resource consumption by life cycle assessment (LCA). However,
LCA requires detailed mass and energy balances, which are usually
not available at early process development stages. Here, we introduce
a framework (A
PROcess-specific, PRedictive impact AssessmenT method for Emerging chemical processes, APPROPRIATE) to provide a fully
automated, predictive LCA framework for the early phases of process
development. Based on Gaussian Process Regression, the framework is
already applicable at Technology Readiness Level 2. To overcome the
limited LCA data availability, we employ an encoder–decoder
network in combination with transfer learning to achieve a latent
representation as a condensed molecular descriptor. We further propose
to integrate not only molecular but also process descriptors, e.g.,
the stoichiometric sum of the reactants’ impacts. Thereby,
we can distinguish between process alternatives and incorporate changes
in the background systems. The framework is compared to state-of-the-art
predictive LCA approaches and shows increased prediction accuracy
in terms of the coefficient of determination of R
2 = 0.61 for the global warming impact compared to an R
2 = 0.3 in former studies. Highly relevant features
are the stoichiometric sum of the reactants’ impacts and the
condensed molecular descriptors. APPROPRIATE supports decision making
in early process development stages by allowing the distinction between
process alternatives and quantifying predictions’ uncertainty.